GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

How high will inflation get this year?

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Trade on Kalshi

How high will inflation get this year?

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Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)	Kalshi	31%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)	Kalshi	14%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.5%)	Kalshi	9%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 7.0%)	Kalshi	5%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)	Kalshi	5%
Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.0%)	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

In 2026 If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least X in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 8:31am ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 8:31am ET.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, October 8, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How high will inflation get this year?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least X in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 8:31am ET. If this event occurs, the market will close the following 8:31am ET.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 7.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 8:31am ET."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 7.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 28, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 30.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

How high will inflation get this year?

Volume$0.00

Markets6

6 of 6

Sort:

KALSHI

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.9¢No 69.0¢

KALSHISports

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)

If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 8:31am ET.

KALSHI

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.1¢No 85.9¢

KALSHISports

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)

If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 8:31am ET.

KALSHI

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.5%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.2¢No 90.8¢

KALSHISports

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.5%)

If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 8:31am ET.

KALSHI

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 7.0%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHISports

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 7.0%)

If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 7.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 8:31am ET.

KALSHI

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHISports

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)

If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: If this event occurs, the market will close the following 8:31am ET.

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How high will inflation get this year?

How high will inflation get this year?

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Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

How high will inflation get this year?

Markets (6)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.5%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.5%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 7.0%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 7.0%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How high will inflation get this year?

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 4.5%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.0%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.5%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 5.5%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 7.0%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 7.0%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)

Inflation surge in 2026? (At least 6.5%)

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Discussion

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