Market snapshot: Oct 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

Name: What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.00M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

Vol

$2.00M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.00M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.00M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?	Poly	50%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Poly	20%
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	Poly	13%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	Poly	5%
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?	Poly	4%
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $2,500 by end of December?	Poly	3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	Poly	3%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	Poly	2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	Poly	2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	Poly	1%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$2.00M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatical

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (79 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatical

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.00M
* **Total Liquidity:** $554.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.62)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $35.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $16.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $2,500 by end of December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $915
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $108.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $114.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $71.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $102.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $75.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $186.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.9% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $1.29M
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

Volume$2.00M

Markets11

11 of 11

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.5¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?

POLYMARKET

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

POLYMARKET

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pr

POLYMARKET

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

POLYMARKET

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 4.0¢No 96.0¢

POLYMARKETFinance

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?

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Discussion

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Next Market Deadline

Calculating time remaining…

Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

No exact saved pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

Markets (11)

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,500 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?

Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Next Market Deadline

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