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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in November

Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in November
Vol

PM $1.12

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Events

1

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Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 84 to 97 km/h at 45.5%.

Polymarket

  1. 84 to 97 km/h45.5%
  2. 98 km/h or above43.5%
  3. 83 km/h or below25%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.12

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the wind-gust range that contains the maximum wind gust, in km/h, recorded in any routine (METAR) or special (SPECI) observation from Wellington Airport (ICAO: NZWN) between November 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Wellington, New Zealand is widely recognized as the world's windiest city, and its airport regularly records powerful gusts that make headlines and viral landing videos worldwide. The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range. The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=11&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value. If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 2?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 2?

PM $9.7K
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 2?Yes 51%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2?Yes 37.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on November 2?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Panama City on November 2?

Highest temperature in Panama City on November 2?

PM $2.3K
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 2?Yes 35.5%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 2?Yes 32.5%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on November 2?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Panama City on November 3?

Highest temperature in Panama City on November 3?

PM $914.47
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on November 3?Yes 46.5%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 3?Yes 24%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on November 3?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 3?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on November 3?

PM $706.12
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on November 3?Yes 47.5%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on November 3?Yes 38%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on November 3?Yes 13.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on November 2?

Lowest temperature in Mexico City on November 2?

PM $183.86
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 5°C or below on November 2?Yes 41.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C or higher on November 2?Yes 41.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on November 2?Yes 39%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on November 3?

Lowest temperature in Mexico City on November 3?

PM $18.07
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 10°C on November 3?Yes 41%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 12°C on November 3?Yes 35%
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on November 3?Yes 34.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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