Name: Alamar Biosciences IPO Closing Market Cap
End: 2026-04-17T00:00:00.000Z

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Alamar Biosciences IPO Closing Market Cap | PredictPedia

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7 markets tracked

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.1B and $1.2B at market close on IPO day?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.1B and $1.2B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	41%
Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $0.9B and $1.0B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	40%
Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.0B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	38%
Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	37%
Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.2B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	36%
Will Alamar Biosciences not IPO before June 2026?	Poly	24%
Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be less than $0.9B at market close on IPO day?	Poly	3%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Alamar Biosciences IPO Closing Market Cap
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 17, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve based on Alamar Biosciences’ market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 17 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.

It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve based on Alamar Biosciences’ market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 17 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 202"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $163
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.06)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.0B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 17, 2026): Vol $51
  DATA: [Yes: 37.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.2B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $0.9B and $1.0B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.1B and $1.2B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Alamar Biosciences not IPO before June 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be less than $0.9B at market close on IPO day?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 17, 2026): Vol $112
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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2h 6mremaining

Apr 17, 2026 12:00 AM

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31¢

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Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.1B and $1.2B at market close on IPO day?

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Events (1)

Alamar Biosciences IPO Closing Market Cap

Markets (7)

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.1B and $1.2B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.1B and $1.2B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $0.9B and $1.0B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $0.9B and $1.0B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.0B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.0B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.2B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.2B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.1B and $1.2B at market close on IPO day?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Alamar Biosciences IPO Closing Market Cap

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.1B and $1.2B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.1B and $1.2B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $0.9B and $1.0B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $0.9B and $1.0B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.0B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.0B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.2B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?

Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.2B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?

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