Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Name: Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
End: 2026-10-25T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.90K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Vol

$2.90K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.90K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.90K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	83%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	15%
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	9%
Will Natalia Kiselova win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	9%
Will Iliana Iotova win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	5%
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	4%
Will Delyan Peevski win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	4%
Will Boyko Borissov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	4%
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	4%
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	4%
Will Atanas Atanasov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	4%
Will Vassil Terziev win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	4%
Will Nikolai Denkov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	3%
Will Krum Zarkov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$2.90K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occ

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 25, 2026 (13 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occ

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or mor"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $15.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.19)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Iliana Iotova win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Andrey Gyurov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $92
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Nikolai Denkov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $124
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Boyko Borissov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Vassil Terziev win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Blagomir Kotsev win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Natalia Kiselova win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 8.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.1% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Yanaki Stoilov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Krum Zarkov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Atanas Atanasov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Delyan Peevski win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Rosen Plevneliev win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 9.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics