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How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?

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How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?

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8 markets tracked

Will 3 to 3 bills become law in Jul 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will 3 to 3 bills become law in Jul 2026?	Kalshi	26%
Will 2 to 2 bills become law in Jul 2026?	Kalshi	24%
Will 1 to 1 bills become law in Jul 2026?	Kalshi	11%
Will 6 to 6 bills become law in Jul 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will 5 to 5 bills become law in Jul 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will 4 to 4 bills become law in Jul 2026?	Kalshi	10%
Will 7 to 7 bills become law in Jul 2026?	Kalshi	9%
Will 0 to 0 bills become law in Jul 2026?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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26%

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About This Event

In Jul 2026 If the President signs exactly X bills into law in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Joint resolutions are included. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Jul 2026

If the President signs exactly X bills into law in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Joint resolutions are included. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the President signs exactly 7 bills into law in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will 7 to 7 bills become law in Jul 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will 6 to 6 bills become law in Jul 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will 5 to 5 bills become law in Jul 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will 4 to 4 bills become law in Jul 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will 3 to 3 bills become law in Jul 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will 2 to 2 bills become law in Jul 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will 1 to 1 bills become law in Jul 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will 0 to 0 bills become law in Jul 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?

In Jul 2026 If the President signs exactly X bills into law in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Joint resolutions are included. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Volume$0.00

Markets8

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KALSHI

Will 3 to 3 bills become law in Jul 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will 3 to 3 bills become law in Jul 2026?

If the President signs exactly 3 bills into law in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will 2 to 2 bills become law in Jul 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will 2 to 2 bills become law in Jul 2026?

If the President signs exactly 2 bills into law in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will 1 to 1 bills become law in Jul 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 10.5¢No 89.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will 1 to 1 bills become law in Jul 2026?

If the President signs exactly 1 bills into law in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will 6 to 6 bills become law in Jul 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will 6 to 6 bills become law in Jul 2026?

If the President signs exactly 6 bills into law in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

Will 5 to 5 bills become law in Jul 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will 5 to 5 bills become law in Jul 2026?

If the President signs exactly 5 bills into law in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Joint resolutions are included. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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12¢

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How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?

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Will 3 to 3 bills become law in Jul 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?

Markets (8)

Will 3 to 3 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 3 to 3 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 2 to 2 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 2 to 2 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 1 to 1 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 1 to 1 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 6 to 6 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 6 to 6 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 5 to 5 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 5 to 5 bills become law in Jul 2026?

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Will 3 to 3 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

How many bills will President Trump sign in Jul 2026?

Will 3 to 3 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 3 to 3 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 2 to 2 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 2 to 2 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 1 to 1 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 1 to 1 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 6 to 6 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 6 to 6 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 5 to 5 bills become law in Jul 2026?

Will 5 to 5 bills become law in Jul 2026?

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