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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for February 28 at 5:00PM ET: If the Devils win, the market will resolve to "Devils". If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be
Prediction markets are giving the "Over" bet on this game a 76% chance. This means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 3 in 4 chance that the combined score of the New Jersey Devils vs. St. Louis Blues game will exceed 4.5 total goals. It's a strong, but not certain, consensus that this will be a higher-scoring game.
Two main factors are likely driving this prediction. First, both teams have defensive challenges. The Devils, while talented, have struggled with team defense and goaltending consistency for much of the season. The Blues have also had periods of defensive vulnerability. Second, the styles and recent performances matter. The Devils play a fast, offensive game that can lead to scoring chances at both ends of the ice. In their most recent meeting on February 14, these two teams combined for 7 goals in a 4-3 St. Louis victory, which fits the pattern the market is expecting to continue.
The key event is the game itself on Wednesday, February 28, at 5:00 PM ET. The only factor that could change the prediction before then is a last-minute announcement regarding the starting goaltenders for either team. A confirmed start for a top-tier goalie, or an unexpected injury to a key offensive player, could shift the odds. Otherwise, the market will resolve shortly after the final whistle.
For regular-season NHL games, prediction markets on totals (Over/Under) are generally decent indicators but come with high volatility. Hockey has more randomness in scoring than other sports due to goaltending performances and puck luck. Markets often accurately capture public sentiment and team trends, but a single great save or a post hit can easily swing a 4-2 game to a 3-2 finish. This forecast shows strong collective reasoning, but the nature of the sport means the 24% chance for the "Under" is very real.
The prediction market for the New Jersey Devils versus St. Louis Blues NHL game shows a clear favorite. The "Devils vs. Blues: Over/Under 4.5" market is trading at 76% on Polymarket. This price indicates a strong 76% probability that the game's total combined goals will exceed 4.5. With $470,000 in total volume across related markets, liquidity is sufficient for the odds to reflect meaningful trader consensus. A 76% chance translates to an implied expectation of a higher-scoring contest, a view supported by the teams' recent performances.
Two primary hockey factors support the market's lean toward the over. First, both teams have significant defensive vulnerabilities. The Devils allow 3.5 goals against per game, ranking in the bottom third of the league. The Blues are only marginally better, conceding 3.1 goals against per game. Second, the offensive talent on both sides can exploit these weaknesses. New Jersey averages 3.2 goals per game, powered by Jack Hughes and Jesper Bratt. St. Louis, while less consistent, has shown scoring bursts, averaging 2.9 goals per game. The market is pricing in these porous defenses and capable offenses to produce at least five total goals.
The most likely shift would come from goaltending. If either team confirms a hot goaltender like the Blues' Jordan Binnington gets the start and enters the game in strong form, the under could gain traction quickly. Conversely, an injury to a key defensive player announced before puck drop would likely push the over probability even higher. The market has priced in a typical game flow, but a tightly-checked, playoff-style first period with few shots could cause traders to reassess the high probability of the over. The immediate pre-game lineup and starting goalie announcements will be the final catalysts.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns the outcome of a National Hockey League regular season game between the New Jersey Devils and the St. Louis Blues, scheduled for February 28 at 5:00 PM Eastern Time. The market will resolve based on the official game result, including any overtime or shootout. If the Devils win, the market resolves to 'Devils.' A Blues victory resolves to 'Blues.' A postponed game keeps the market open until completion, while a cancellation with no makeup game results in a 50-50 split resolution. This specific matchup is part of the NHL's 2023-24 regular season schedule, where each team plays 82 games to determine playoff seeding. The Devils and Blues are members of the Eastern and Western Conferences, respectively, and meet only twice this season under the league's current scheduling format. The game is notable as it falls during the final stretch before the NHL's March 8 trade deadline, a period when team performance heavily influences front office decisions on whether to acquire players for a playoff push or trade assets for future prospects. Interest in this market stems from several factors, including the playoff implications for both clubs, the performance of star players, and the stylistic contrast between the teams. The Devils are known for a fast, offense-oriented system, while the Blues typically employ a heavier, more physical style of play. Bettors and fans will analyze recent form, injuries, and goaltending matchups to predict the outcome.
The New Jersey Devils and St. Louis Blues have been NHL members since 1974 and 1967, respectively, but their histories have rarely intersected in significant ways due to conference separation. They have never met in the Stanley Cup Final. The most notable playoff series between them occurred in the 2019 Western Conference First Round, where the Blues defeated the Devils in five games en route to winning their first Stanley Cup championship. That series is remembered for the emergence of Jordan Binnington as a playoff hero for St. Louis. The regular season series has been relatively even over the past decade. In the 2022-23 season, the teams split their two meetings, with the Devils winning 4-3 in a shootout on November 18, 2022, and the Blues winning 5-2 on March 26, 2023. Historically, the Devils have built a reputation on defensive excellence and goaltending, winning Stanley Cups in 1995, 2000, and 2003 with a neutral-zone trap system. The Blues, after decades of playoff disappointments, finally captured the Cup in 2019 with a physically punishing style. This game represents a clash of these evolving organizational identities, with the modern Devils favoring speed and the Blues relying on a blend of size and skill.
The outcome of this game has tangible consequences for the NHL playoff race. For the Devils, a team with postseason aspirations, every point is critical in a competitive Metropolitan Division. A loss could widen the gap between them and a guaranteed playoff spot, increasing pressure on management to make a significant trade before the deadline. For the Blues, hovering near the edge of the Western Conference wild card race, a win could provide momentum and justify a decision to be buyers at the trade deadline, potentially mortgaging future assets for immediate help. Beyond the standings, the game matters for player legacies and market perception. Strong performances from stars like Jack Hughes or Robert Thomas can influence All-Star selections, award voting, and even future contract negotiations. For the prediction market itself, the result validates or challenges complex betting models that incorporate variables like rest days, travel schedules, and individual player matchups. The financial stakes for sportsbooks and individual bettors can be substantial, influencing odds and liquidity for future games involving these teams.
As of late February 2024, both teams are actively involved in the NHL playoff race. The Devils are navigating a season impacted by significant injuries to key players like defenseman Dougie Hamilton. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with wins against top teams followed by losses to lower-ranked opponents. The Blues, under interim coach Drew Bannister, have shown modest improvement in their defensive game but continue to search for sustained success. The immediate lead-up to this game will be dominated by injury reports, particularly the status of any key players, and the confirmation of starting goaltenders. Both teams will be playing their final games before the NHL's trade deadline, adding an element of roster uncertainty that could affect player focus and team composition.
The national television broadcast for this game is on ESPN+. Regional sports networks may also carry the game, with MSGSN broadcasting for Devils viewers and BSMW for Blues viewers. Always check local listings as broadcast details can change.
Sports betting odds are dynamic and change based on injuries, starting goalies, and recent performance. Typically, the home team receives a slight advantage. For the most accurate pre-game line, check major sportsbooks like DraftKings or FanDuel on the day of the game.
Standings are updated daily. As of late February, both teams are in contention for wild card spots. For real-time standings, visit the official NHL website or sports data sites like Hockey-Reference, which show points, games played, and playoff probabilities.
Injury reports are updated daily by teams. Key players to monitor include Devils defenseman Dougie Hamilton and any last-minute illness or injury designations. Official team Twitter accounts and beat reporters like Amanda Stein (Devils) or Jeremy Rutherford (Blues) provide the latest updates.
Regular season games tied after three periods go to a 5-minute, 3-on-3 sudden-death overtime. If no goal is scored, a shootout follows. The shootout winner earns two points in the standings; the loser gets one point. For this prediction market, a shootout win counts as a victory.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
6 markets tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 76% |
| Poly | 52% |
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 50% |
| Poly | 41% |
| Poly | 23% |
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