Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?

Name: How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
End: 2026-10-14T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.17K

Events

Markets

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How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?

Vol

$6.17K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

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Polymarket

markets · $6.17K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.17K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 15 and 18 million views this week?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 15 and 18 million views this week?	Poly	97%
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week?	Poly	3%
Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 18 million views this week?	Poly	2%
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 9 and 12 million views this week?	Poly	1%
Will the #1 global Netflix show have less than 6 million views this week?	Poly	1%
Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 6 and 9 million views this week?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$6.17K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve according to the views figure of the show that this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show, according to Netflix. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. If the reported views f

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 14, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve according to the views figure of the show that this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show, according to Netflix. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the view count of the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

If the reported views f

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 13, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve according to the views figure of the show that this update ranks as the #1 global Ne"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $12.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.50)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the #1 global Netflix show have less than 6 million views this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $810
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 6 and 9 million views this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $196
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 9 and 12 million views this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $346
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 12 and 15 million views this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 15 and 18 million views this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 18 million views this week?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 14, 2026): Vol $658
  DATA: [Yes: 2.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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