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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?
Vol

PM $11.76

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Events

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Markets

1

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $11.76

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?

Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?

PM $102.4K
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 20?Yes 99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20?Yes 97.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?Yes 93.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin price on October 20?

Bitcoin price on October 20?

PM $17.9K
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 20?Yes 39.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?Yes 26.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 20?Yes 19.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCrypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

PM $111.81M · K 24.48M contracts

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $99,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 20.5%Rules differK Yes 24.5%

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be below $55000.00 by Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Bitcoin be above $109,999.99 by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 7.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

15 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12AM ET

PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12AM ETView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1AM ET

PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1AM ETView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCrypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2AM ET

PM $0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2AM ETView outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 20, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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