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Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

Name: Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.29K

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Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

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Polymarket

markets · $5.29K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.29K

100%

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1 market tracked

Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?	Poly	3%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:**  Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 31, 2026 (15 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more Iranian government officials physically visit the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any diplomatic engagement, meeting, or official reception by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying officials must be formal representatives of the Islamic Republic of Iran, including but not limited to ministers, ambassadors, diplomats, envoys, or senior advisors officially affiliated with the Iranian gov

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more Iranian government officials physically visit the White House complex in Washington, D.C., for any diplomatic engagement, meeting, or official reception by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Qualifying officia"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.24)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1.  Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 31, 2026): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

14d 11h remaining

Jan 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

3¢

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Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

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Will Iranian officials visit the White House by January 31?

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Events (1)