Name: Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

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Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31? | PredictPedia

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4 markets tracked

Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?	Poly	92%
Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?	Poly	21%
Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31?	Poly	7%
Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?	Poly	4%

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (75 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channe"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $59.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $7.2K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 8.20)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $38.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $17.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $918
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

74d 15h remaining

Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM

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31¢

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Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?

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Events (1)

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?

Markets (4)

Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?

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Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?

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Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?

Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?

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