Name: UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-04-05T03:59:59.999Z

PredictPedia

Markets Wiki

UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card) | PredictPedia

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	79%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	52%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	46%
Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?	Poly	34%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	33%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	25%
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	17%
Will Manolo Zecchini win by KO or TKO?	Poly	13%
UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)	Poly	12%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, May 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 5, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Manolo Zecchini" if Manolo Zecchini is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tommy McMillen at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026.

It will resolve to "Tommy McMillen" if Tommy McMillen is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 18, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market wil

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Manolo Zecchini and Tommy McMillen at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan, scheduled for April 4, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." 

Draws "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $41.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.41)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 5, 2026): Vol $483
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 5, 2026): Vol $15
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 5, 2026): Vol $16.5K
  DATA: [Manolo Zecchini: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [Tommy McMillen: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 54.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Manolo Zecchini win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/eycmdi" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)

Markets (9)

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?

Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will Manolo Zecchini win by KO or TKO?

Will Manolo Zecchini win by KO or TKO?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Over/Under 0.5 Rounds

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will the fight be won by submission?

Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?

Will Tommy McMillen win by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will Manolo Zecchini win by KO or TKO?

Will Manolo Zecchini win by KO or TKO?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget