Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

AS Roma vs Real Madrid: First Team to Score

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AS Roma vs Real Madrid: First Team to Score

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

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3 markets tracked

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Will Real Madrid record the first goal of the game?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Real Madrid record the first goal of the game?	Kalshi	57%
Will AS Roma record the first goal of the game?	Kalshi	39%
Will no goal be scored?	Kalshi	28%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

57%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

ROM vs RMA (Oct 14) If X records the first goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the AS Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a team in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the AS Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026. If the first goa

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** AS Roma vs Real Madrid: First Team to Score
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** ROM vs RMA (Oct 14)

If X records the first goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the AS Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a team in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the AS Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026. If the first goa

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If AS Roma records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the AS Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will AS Roma record the first goal of the game?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Real Madrid record the first goal of the game?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will no goal be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 17, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

AS Roma vs Real Madrid: First Team to Score

Volume$0.00

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Will Real Madrid record the first goal of the game?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 57.0¢No 43.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will Real Madrid record the first goal of the game?

If Real Madrid records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the AS Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers

KALSHI

Will AS Roma record the first goal of the game?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 39.0¢No 61.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will AS Roma record the first goal of the game?

If AS Roma records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the AS Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a

KALSHI

Will no goal be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.5¢No 72.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Will no goal be scored?

If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the AS Roma vs Real Madrid professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a

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41¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/f86Zq2" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="AS Roma vs Real Madrid: First Team to Score"></iframe>

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AS Roma vs Real Madrid: First Team to Score

AS Roma vs Real Madrid: First Team to Score

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Will Real Madrid record the first goal of the game?

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Events (1)

AS Roma vs Real Madrid: First Team to Score

Markets (3)

Will Real Madrid record the first goal of the game?

Will Real Madrid record the first goal of the game?

Will AS Roma record the first goal of the game?

Will AS Roma record the first goal of the game?

Will no goal be scored?

Will no goal be scored?

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Will Real Madrid record the first goal of the game?

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AS Roma vs Real Madrid: First Team to Score

Will Real Madrid record the first goal of the game?

Will Real Madrid record the first goal of the game?

Will AS Roma record the first goal of the game?

Will AS Roma record the first goal of the game?

Will no goal be scored?

Will no goal be scored?

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