GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 9, 2026?

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Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 9, 2026?

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6 markets tracked

Will the high temp in Chicago be 86-87° on Jul 9, 2026?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the high temp in Chicago be 86-87° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	100%
Will the high temp in Chicago be >91° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the high temp in Chicago be <84° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the high temp in Chicago be 90-91° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the high temp in Chicago be 88-89° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	1%
Will the high temp in Chicago be 84-85° on Jul 9, 2026?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

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About This Event

On Jul 9, 2026 If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 09, 2026, is X than Y according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report, Daily, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report, Daily, linked in th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 9, 2026?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Jul 9, 2026

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 09, 2026, is X than Y according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report, Daily, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the highest temperature as reported by the corresponding NWS Climatological Report, Daily, linked in th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 09, 2026, is greater than 91° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the high temp in Chicago be >91° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the high temp in Chicago be <84° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the high temp in Chicago be 90-91° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the high temp in Chicago be 88-89° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the high temp in Chicago be 86-87° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the high temp in Chicago be 84-85° on Jul 9, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 9, 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Will the high temp in Chicago be 86-87° on Jul 9, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the high temp in Chicago be 86-87° on Jul 9, 2026?

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 09, 2026, is between 86-87° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Go

KALSHI

Will the high temp in Chicago be >91° on Jul 9, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the high temp in Chicago be >91° on Jul 9, 2026?

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 09, 2026, is greater than 91° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or

KALSHI

Will the high temp in Chicago be <84° on Jul 9, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the high temp in Chicago be <84° on Jul 9, 2026?

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 09, 2026, is less than 84° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Goo

KALSHI

Will the high temp in Chicago be 90-91° on Jul 9, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the high temp in Chicago be 90-91° on Jul 9, 2026?

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 09, 2026, is between 90-91° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Go

KALSHI

Will the high temp in Chicago be 88-89° on Jul 9, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 0.5¢No 99.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the high temp in Chicago be 88-89° on Jul 9, 2026?

If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for July 09, 2026, is between 88-89° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Go

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/fEmmdT" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 9, 2026?"></iframe>

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Will the high temp in Chicago be 86-87° on Jul 9, 2026?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 9, 2026?

Markets (6)

Will the high temp in Chicago be 86-87° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be 86-87° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be >91° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be >91° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be <84° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be <84° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be 90-91° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be 90-91° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be 88-89° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be 88-89° on Jul 9, 2026?

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Will the high temp in Chicago be 86-87° on Jul 9, 2026?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Highest temperature in Chicago on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be 86-87° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be 86-87° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be >91° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be >91° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be <84° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be <84° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be 90-91° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be 90-91° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be 88-89° on Jul 9, 2026?

Will the high temp in Chicago be 88-89° on Jul 9, 2026?

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