Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This is a binary contract on ZCash over a five-minute window, titled "ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET" [1]. The saved rules say the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A contract on a different window, start price, or data source would be a different question, even if its title looks similar.

Reading the snapshot

The saved event contains one Polymarket market with two outcomes: Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z, and the application retrieved the record at 2026-10-31T22:51:30.281Z [1]. Those are times for this record, not a live reading. The prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The coverage record marks the sample as complete for this event, with one of one markets included and no partial sample [1]. That completeness applies only to this saved event and does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome for the period.

The equal prices show only what the saved record contains. The data does not show order depth, the number of traders on either side, or why the prices are equal.

What remains uncertain

The listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:15:00.000Z, and the provider status was active when the record was retrieved [1]. The evidence does not include a resolution, so the outcome of this contract cannot be determined from it. The sources also do not explain whether the prices have changed since observation.

Comparisons with other contracts or platforms need separate evidence. Differences in wording, listed close times, or resolution sources can change what each contract measures, so a price difference alone does not show an arbitrage opportunity.

References

1. Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z.