Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This is a short-window crypto contract on BNB. According to the provider's rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The title's window is November 1, 7:10AM to 7:15AM ET [1].

The resolution source is narrow. The rules name the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream and state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should not assume that another BNB price feed, exchange quote, or a differently defined average would settle this contract the same way.

The listed end time is 2026-11-01T12:15:00.000Z [1]. That is the provider's stated close, not a result. The evidence does not show a resolution.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T21:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T23:03:14Z [1]. The provider status was "active" when recorded [1]. These times are about two hours apart, so the prices describe the market at the observation time and cannot be read as live prices now.

The snapshot lists two outcomes: "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, and the evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did.

The sample covers one market from one event. The coverage record shows 1 total market, 1 included, and no partial sample [1]. Because this is a binary contract, the two outcomes are the full set of listed results. No other platform's prices are included, so there is nothing to compare or average.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, trade history, or the number of participants, so it cannot show how much the prices would move on a trade. The rules also do not show a resolution outcome, a resolution timestamp, or whether any dispute process applies. A reader should check the live contract page before relying on any price.

References

1. Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - November 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T21:00:06.793Z.