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GroupPOLYMARKET

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 26?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 26?
Vol

PM $2.4K

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Events

1

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Markets

11

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 30°C at 48%.

Polymarket

  1. 30°C48%
  2. 29°C29%
  3. 31°C15.5%
  4. 28°C6.5%
  5. 32°C2.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $2.4K

Reported volume · provider units

11

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions published after the Hong Kong Observatory's initial publication of data for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution. That initial publication is the revisions cutoff. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 25?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 25?

PM $7.5K
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?Yes 47%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 25?Yes 30.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 25?Yes 15.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 26?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 26?

PM $241.02
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 26?Yes 42.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26?Yes 35.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 26?Yes 25%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 25?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 25?

PM $18.2K
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?Yes 66.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 25?Yes 18.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on October 25?Yes 13.9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 26?

Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 26?

PM $6.6K
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 26?Yes 41%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 26?Yes 31%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 26?Yes 16.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 26?

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on October 26?

PM $2.4K
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 26?Yes 52%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 26?Yes 27%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 26?Yes 17%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketClimate
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 26?

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on October 26?

PM $2.0K
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?Yes 54.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 26?Yes 31.5%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 26?Yes 9%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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