GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

MLS: Players to Join

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

MLS: Players to Join

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Casemiro)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Casemiro)	Kalshi	99%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Cristiano Ronaldo)	Kalshi	51%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Mohamed Salah)	Kalshi	33%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Lucas Moura)	Kalshi	24%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Neymar)	Kalshi	22%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Francesco Acerbi)	Kalshi	21%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Sergio Ramos)	Kalshi	16%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Luka Modric)	Kalshi	11%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Angel Di Maria)	Kalshi	11%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Yann Sommer)	Kalshi	11%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Keylor Navas)	Kalshi	11%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Karim Benzema)	Kalshi	11%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Harry Kane)	Kalshi	6%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Manuel Neuer)	Kalshi	5%
Who will join MLS in the summer? (Henrikh Mkhitaryan)	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before Sep 3, 2026 If X next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if X signs a contract to join any team in the MLS, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. Y signs with a club and is immediately loaned out, the signing club resolves to Yes and all others resolve to No. The market resolves to Yes if X is loaned to any team in the MLS, temporary transfer of registration. Y is currently signed to any team

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLS: Players to Join
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Sep 3, 2026

If X next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if X signs a contract to join any team in the MLS, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. Y signs with a club and is immediately loaned out, the signing club resolves to Yes and all others resolve to No. The market resolves to Yes if X is loaned to any team in the MLS, temporary transfer of registration. Y is currently signed to any team

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yann Sommer's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details
The market resolves to Yes if Yann Sommer signs a contract to join any team in the MLS, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent.  
If Yann Sommer signs with a "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Yann Sommer)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Sergio Ramos)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Neymar)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Mohamed Salah)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Manuel Neuer)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Lucas Moura)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Luka Modric)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Keylor Navas)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Karim Benzema)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Henrikh Mkhitaryan)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Harry Kane)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Francesco Acerbi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Cristiano Ronaldo)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Casemiro)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Who will join MLS in the summer? (Angel Di Maria)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

MLS: Players to Join

Volume$0.00

Markets15

15 of 15

Sort:

KALSHI

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Casemiro)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Casemiro)

If Casemiro's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Casemiro signs a contract to join any team in the MLS, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Casemiro signs with a club and

KALSHI

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Cristiano Ronaldo)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHISports

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Cristiano Ronaldo)

If Cristiano Ronaldo's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Cristiano Ronaldo signs a contract to join any team in the MLS, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Cristiano Ron

KALSHI

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Mohamed Salah)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 33.0¢No 67.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Mohamed Salah)

If Mohamed Salah's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Mohamed Salah signs a contract to join any team in the MLS, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Mohamed Salah signs w

KALSHI

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Lucas Moura)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHISports

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Lucas Moura)

If Lucas Moura's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Lucas Moura signs a contract to join any team in the MLS, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Lucas Moura signs with a

KALSHI

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Neymar)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 22.0¢No 78.0¢

KALSHISports

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Neymar)

If Neymar's next club is any team in the MLS before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Transfer Details The market resolves to Yes if Neymar signs a contract to join any team in the MLS, whether via transfer fee or as a free agent. If Neymar signs with a club and is imm

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

22¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/fSdlgT" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="MLS: Players to Join"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

MLS: Players to Join

MLS: Players to Join

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Casemiro)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

MLS: Players to Join

Markets (15)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Casemiro)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Casemiro)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Cristiano Ronaldo)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Cristiano Ronaldo)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Mohamed Salah)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Mohamed Salah)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Lucas Moura)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Lucas Moura)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Neymar)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Neymar)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Casemiro)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

MLS: Players to Join

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Casemiro)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Casemiro)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Cristiano Ronaldo)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Cristiano Ronaldo)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Mohamed Salah)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Mohamed Salah)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Lucas Moura)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Lucas Moura)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Neymar)

Who will join MLS in the summer? (Neymar)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget