Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader
PM $9.6K
1
36
Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader
PM $9.6K
1
36
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Bryce Young at 49.8%.
Polymarket
- Bryce Young49.8%
- Patrick Mahomes49.8%
- Brock Purdy48%
- Lamar Jackson45.5%
- Josh Allen45%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $9.6K
Reported volume · provider units
36
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR (ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating) among qualified players. To qualify, a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This provider event asks which player will finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR among qualified players. The rules define Total QBR as "ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating" and say a player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for leaderboard eligibility [1]. Each player has a separate Yes/No contract. A tie goes to the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks, then to the higher traditional passer rating, and if that still does not decide it, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The rules also cover a shortened season, which would use Total QBR from completed games, and a cancelled or postponed season, which resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z, while the cancellation clause refers to "January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z and retrieved at 2026-10-18T07:48:42.111Z [1]. They describe that moment only and are not live quotes. The Yes prices in the included markets range from 0.0565 to 0.475 [1]. Brock Purdy's Yes price is 0.475, Patrick Mahomes's is 0.4735, Bryce Young's is 0.4455, and Lamar Jackson's is 0.43 [1]. Drake Maye, Joe Burrow, Jayden Daniels, and Geno Smith fall between 0.088 and 0.224 [1].
This is a partial sample. The event has 36 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The inclusion rule ranks markets by finite Yes price, highest first, so the omitted 24 were not selected by that ranking. The sample does not show their prices, and no conclusion should be drawn about where they sit. Because the prices are not a full field, the included Yes prices should not be summed or treated as a complete distribution.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot does not show the season outcome, which has not occurred according to the evidence. The status is "active" [1]. The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. Trading volume is not included in this source, so it cannot indicate liquidity or the number of participants. These prices should not be compared with any other platform or event, since the wording, eligibility, and end times may differ.
References
- Polymarket: Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 18, 2026 UTCOverview
PredictPedia's Pro Football: 2026-27 QBR Leader event is a contract tied to the 2026-27 NFL regular season. It resolves in favor of the player who finishes that regular season with the most Total QBR, which the rules describe as ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating, among qualified players. A player qualifies by meeting ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility [1]. The event's provider status was active at the time of the saved snapshot, and its listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z [1]. That listed end time is a contract setting, not a confirmed date for any game or announcement. The contract is designed around a single season-long statistic. Individual markets in the event ask whether a given quarterback will finish first on that measure. The source material does not describe how the Total QBR leaderboard is updated during the season, so this article does not describe the interim standings. The rules also cover unusual situations. If the season ends early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome is determined using available Total QBR data for completed games [1]. If the regular season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the league in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. A tie is handled in stages. The tied player with more qualifying dropbacks wins, then the player with the higher traditional passer rating, and if a tie still persists the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The official resolution source is ESPN's information, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single season-long outcome: which qualified quarterback finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the highest Total QBR as reported by ESPN [1]. Because the outcome depends on a full regular season and on ESPN's leaderboard eligibility threshold, the result is not settled by any one game. The tie-breaking order and the cancellation and truncation rules determine how unusual seasons resolve, so readers should read those provisions rather than assume a simple winner-takes-all reading [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-18 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the market measure?
It measures which player finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR among qualified players, using ESPN's Total Quarterback Rating [1].
Who counts as qualified?
A player must meet ESPN's minimum threshold for Total QBR leaderboard eligibility to be considered [1].
How are ties handled?
A tie goes to the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the regular season. If that still does not separate them, the higher traditional passer rating decides. If a tie still persists, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
What happens if the season is shortened or cancelled?
If the season ends early, is shortened, or is truncated, the outcome uses available Total QBR data for completed games. If the regular season is cancelled, is postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or leaves it unclear who led in Total QBR within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
Where does resolution data come from?
The resolution source is official information from ESPN, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Pro Football Passing Interceptions Leader
K 3.1K contracts
Pro Football All-Purpose Yards Leader
K 479 contracts
Pro Football Passing Yards Leader
K 345.0K contracts
Pro Football Passing Touchdowns Leader
K 125.2K contracts
Pro Football Receiving Yards Leader
K 271.6K contracts
Pro Football Receiving Touchdowns Leader
K 126.6K contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
