Name: Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA
End: 2026-04-18T23:30:00.000Z

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Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA | PredictPedia

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Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?	Poly	58%
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?	Poly	25%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-18?	Poly	18%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 between Cruzeiro EC and Grêmio FBPA.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 18, 2026
If Cruzeiro EC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, th"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $66
* **Total Liquidity:** $36.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $44
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $9
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-18?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

2d 7h remaining

Apr 18, 2026 11:30 PM

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Average Yes Price

34¢

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Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA

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Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA

Markets (3)

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?

Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?

Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-18?

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-18?

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Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?

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Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?

Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?

Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-18?

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-18?

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