Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
Total Volume
$3.98K
Events
1
Markets
9
UFC 324: Namajunas vs. Silva (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)
Vol
$3.98K
|
Events
1
|
Markets
9
$3.98K
1
9
$3.98K
1
9
9 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
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| Poly | 86% |
| Poly | 79% |
| Poly | 71% |
| Poly | 68% |
| Poly | 24% |
| Poly | 21% |
| Poly | 19% |
| Poly | 18% |
| Poly | 14% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to "Namajunas" if Rose Namajunas is officially declared the winner of the fight against Natalia Silva at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Silva" if Natalia Silva is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official infor
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns the outcome of a scheduled women's flyweight mixed martial arts bout between former UFC strawweight champion Rose Namajunas and rising contender Natalia Silva. The fight is part of the preliminary card for UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, a major pay-per-view event scheduled for January 24, 2026. The market allows participants to speculate on the official result, resolving to the declared winner or to a 50-50 split under specific conditions like a draw, no contest, or cancellation. This bout represents a significant stylistic clash and career crossroads for both athletes, generating substantial interest from MMA analysts and fans. Namajunas, a former champion moving up in weight, seeks to re-establish herself in a new division, while Silva aims to secure the most high-profile victory of her career to date, potentially catapulting herself into title contention. The fight's placement on a major PPV card underscores its importance to the UFC's flyweight landscape. The market's resolution is tied to official UFC results, providing a clear, verifiable outcome for traders.
The women's flyweight division (125 lbs) was introduced to the UFC in 2017, with the first champion crowned in 2018. This created a new competitive landscape between the established strawweight (115 lbs) and bantamweight (135 lbs) classes. Historically, several notable strawweights, including former champions like Joanna Jędrzejczyk and Jessica Andrade, have moved up to flyweight with mixed success, testing whether skills translate against larger opponents. Rose Namajunas's move follows this precedent. Natalia Silva's rise is part of a broader trend of Brazilian fighters dominating the lower weight classes, a legacy dating back to pioneers like Royce Gracie. The UFC's partnership with prediction markets for major events has grown since the mid-2020s, with fight outcomes becoming a popular category for speculative trading due to their binary nature and clear resolution criteria. Past high-profile fights have seen significant market volume, demonstrating fan engagement beyond traditional viewership.
The outcome of this fight has significant implications for the UFC's women's flyweight division hierarchy. A win for Namajunas instantly inserts a major star and former champion into the title picture at 125 pounds, creating lucrative new matchups and boosting pay-per-view appeal. A victory for Silva would signal a passing of the torch to a new generation, solidifying her status as a legitimate title threat and enhancing the division's depth. Economically, the result influences fighter pay, sponsorship value, and future main event potential for both athletes. For the prediction market itself, high-profile MMA bouts represent a growing asset class, allowing fans and analysts to engage financially with the sport. The accuracy and liquidity of these markets also serve as a public consensus forecast on fight outcomes, which is often analyzed against odds set by traditional sportsbooks.
As of late 2025, the fight is officially scheduled and promoted as part of the UFC 324 preliminary card. Both fighters are presumed to be in their training camps, preparing specifically for this matchup. The bout agreement has been signed, and the UFC has confirmed the date and event placement. Barring any last-minute injuries, weight-cutting issues, or other unforeseen circumstances, the fight is expected to proceed as planned on January 24, 2026. The buildup will likely include pre-fight press conferences, media interviews, and promotional content released by the UFC in the weeks leading to the event.
If the fight is canceled or postponed beyond the market's resolution deadline of February 7, 2026, the prediction market will resolve as '50-50'. This means all contracts will be settled at a value of $0.50 each, splitting the total pool between traders who bought 'Namajunas' and 'Silva' shares.
The official result will be published by the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) on its website and social media channels immediately after the event. Official state athletic commission records, such as those from the Nevada State Athletic Commission if the event is held in Las Vegas, also serve as a definitive resolution source.
As of late 2025, Rose Namajunas has not competed in the UFC women's flyweight division. This scheduled bout against Natalia Silva is expected to be her official debut at 125 pounds, following her storied career as a strawweight champion.
Natalia Silva is primarily known as a dynamic, aggressive striker with a background in Muay Thai. She utilizes fast, powerful kicks and combinations. Her style contrasts with Namajunas's more measured, counter-striking approach, making for a compelling stylistic clash.
A regular draw occurs when judges' scorecards are tied after all rounds. A technical draw is declared if an accidental foul early in a fight prevents its continuation and the bout has not reached a point where official judges' scores can be used to determine a winner. Both outcomes would trigger a 50-50 market resolution.
As of late 2025, the UFC women's flyweight champion is Manon Fiorot. The winner of the Namajunas vs. Silva fight would likely position themselves for a future title shot against the reigning champion or another top contender.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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