Name: Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi
End: 2026-04-24T01:00:00.000Z

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Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $177.38K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $177.38K

100%

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9 markets tracked

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi	Poly	100%
Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 21.5	Poly	100%
Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 22.5	Poly	100%
Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 23.5	Poly	100%
Set 1 Winner: Bolt vs Noguchi	Poly	100%
Bolt vs. Noguchi: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5	Poly	100%
Bolt vs. Noguchi: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5	Poly	100%
Bolt vs. Noguchi: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5	Poly	100%
Alex Bolt vs. Rio Noguchi: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

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100%

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$177.38K

Volume

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About This Event

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Rio Noguchi in the Busan, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Rio Noguchi. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Alex Bolt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the mat

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 24, 2026 (7 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Rio Noguchi in the Busan, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Rio Noguchi.

This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Alex Bolt.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the mat

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Rio Noguchi in the Busan, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Rio Noguchi.

This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $177.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.46M
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.12)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 24, 2026): Vol $174.6K
  DATA: [Alex Bolt: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Rio Noguchi: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 21.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 24, 2026): Vol $128
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 22.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 24, 2026): Vol $531
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 23.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 24, 2026): Vol $547
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 5. Set 1 Winner: Bolt vs Noguchi
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 24, 2026): Vol $404
  DATA: [Bolt: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Noguchi: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Alex Bolt vs. Rio Noguchi: Total Sets Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 24, 2026): Vol $755
  DATA: [Over 2.5: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [Under 2.5: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Bolt vs. Noguchi: Set 1 Games Over/Under 8.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 24, 2026): Vol $112
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 8. Bolt vs. Noguchi: Set 1 Games Over/Under 9.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 24, 2026): Vol $108
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 9. Bolt vs. Noguchi: Set 1 Games Over/Under 10.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 24, 2026): Vol $208
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

Volume$177.38K

Markets9

9 of 9

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

LiquidityHIGH

Health Score75/100

Leading Outcome100.0%

POLYMARKET

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 21.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 21.5

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Rio Noguchi in the Busan, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tieb

LiquidityMEDIUM

Health Score40/100

Leading Outcome100.0%

POLYMARKET

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 22.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 22.5

LiquidityMEDIUM

Health Score40/100

Leading Outcome100.0%

POLYMARKET

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 23.5

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 23.5

LiquidityMEDIUM

Health Score40/100

Leading Outcome100.0%

POLYMARKET

Set 1 Winner: Bolt vs Noguchi

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.0¢No 100.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

CLOSING SOON

Set 1 Winner: Bolt vs Noguchi

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Bolt and Rio Noguchi in the Busan, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Bolt” if Alex Bolt wins the first set. It will resolve to “Noguchi” if Rio Noguchi wins the first set. If the match begins but is

LiquidityHIGH

Health Score50/100

Leading Outcome100.0%

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Next Market Closes

6d 11h remaining

Apr 24, 2026 1:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

89¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/fdFwHY" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi"></iframe>

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Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

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Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

Markets (9)

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 21.5

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 21.5

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 22.5

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 22.5

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 23.5

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 23.5

Set 1 Winner: Bolt vs Noguchi

Set 1 Winner: Bolt vs Noguchi

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Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

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Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

Busan: Alex Bolt vs Rio Noguchi

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 21.5

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 21.5

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 22.5

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 22.5

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 23.5

Bolt vs. Noguchi: Match Over/Under 23.5

Set 1 Winner: Bolt vs Noguchi

Set 1 Winner: Bolt vs Noguchi

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