Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: First Team to Score

Total Volume

$2.31K

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Markets

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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: First Team to Score

Vol

$2.31K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.31K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.31K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Athletic Bilbao record the first goal of the game?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Athletic Bilbao record the first goal of the game?	Kalshi	49%
Will Rayo Vallecano record the first goal of the game?	Kalshi	37%
Will no goal be scored?	Kalshi	24%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$2.31K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RVC vs ATH (Oct 10) If X records the first goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a team in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If the first

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: First Team to Score
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RVC vs ATH (Oct 10)

If X records the first goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a team in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If the first

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Rayo Vallecano records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market re"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Rayo Vallecano record the first goal of the game?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $202
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will no goal be scored?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Athletic Bilbao record the first goal of the game?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: First Team to Score

Volume$2.31K

Markets3

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KALSHI

Will Athletic Bilbao record the first goal of the game?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Athletic Bilbao record the first goal of the game?

If Athletic Bilbao records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market r

KALSHI

Will Rayo Vallecano record the first goal of the game?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Rayo Vallecano record the first goal of the game?

If Rayo Vallecano records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market re

KALSHI

Will no goal be scored?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.5¢No 76.5¢

KALSHISports

Will no goal be scored?

If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to

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Average Yes Price

37¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ffJmpj" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: First Team to Score"></iframe>

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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: First Team to Score

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: First Team to Score

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Will Athletic Bilbao record the first goal of the game?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: First Team to Score

Markets (3)

Will Athletic Bilbao record the first goal of the game?

Will Athletic Bilbao record the first goal of the game?

Will Rayo Vallecano record the first goal of the game?

Will Rayo Vallecano record the first goal of the game?

Will no goal be scored?

Will no goal be scored?

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Will Athletic Bilbao record the first goal of the game?

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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao: First Team to Score

Will Athletic Bilbao record the first goal of the game?

Will Athletic Bilbao record the first goal of the game?

Will Rayo Vallecano record the first goal of the game?

Will Rayo Vallecano record the first goal of the game?

Will no goal be scored?

Will no goal be scored?

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