Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Name: Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$137.10

Events

Markets

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Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $137.10

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $137.10

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?	Poly	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$137.10

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the proce

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2026 (349 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the proce

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $137
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.04)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $137
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

348d 12h remaining

Dec 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

7¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/fs7ybs" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?"></iframe>

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Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

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Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)