GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series

Name: Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
End: 2026-09-14T20:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$110.40K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series

Vol

$110.40K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $110.40K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $110.40K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Poly	74%
Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Poly	9%
Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Poly	4%
Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Poly	3%
Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

74%

Top Probability

$110.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 14, 2026 (9 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $110.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $7.5K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 14.68)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $14.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $25.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $21.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.4% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $35.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 14, 2026): Vol $13.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture