Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Stetson Hatters
Total Volume
$29.68K
Events
1
Markets
1
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Stetson Hatters
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $29.68K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $29.68K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Stetson Hatters
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 1% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
1%
Top Probability
$29.68K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the CBB game between Florida Gulf Coast Eagles and Stetson Hatters on February 28 at 2:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting
Prediction markets give the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles a roughly 1 in 100 chance of winning their upcoming basketball game against the Stetson Hatters. In simpler terms, traders collectively see an Eagles victory as very unlikely. This isn't just a slight edge for Stetson, it's an overwhelming consensus that the Hatters are the clear favorite.
Why the Market Sees It This Way
The extreme odds are based on the teams' current seasons and a recent head-to-head result. Stetson is having a strong year in the ASUN Conference, competing near the top of the standings. Florida Gulf Coast, in contrast, is near the bottom. Their first meeting this season on January 24th was not close. Stetson won that game by 24 points, 91-67. In prediction markets, recent decisive results like that heavily influence the odds for a rematch just a few weeks later. Traders see little reason to expect a different outcome unless something major changes.
Key Dates and Events to Watch
The main event is the game itself, scheduled for February 28 at 2:00 PM ET. The only developments that could realistically shift the prediction before tip-off would be a last-minute announcement about a key player's availability. An injury or suspension to a major Stetson contributor could make the market reassess. Otherwise, the next signal is the final score.
How Reliable Are These Predictions?
For regular season college basketball games between teams with a clear performance gap, prediction markets are generally quite reliable. They effectively aggregate information like team records, point spreads, and recent matchups. The main limitation here is the relatively small amount of money wagered, about $30,000, which is considered niche. This means the market might be slightly less efficient than for a high-profile event, but the 1% probability still reflects a very strong consensus based on available data.
Current Market Outlook
The prediction market assigns Florida Gulf Coast a 1% probability of defeating Stetson. This price, essentially a 99% implied chance for Stetson, shows the market views a Hatters victory as nearly certain. With only $30,000 in total volume, liquidity is thin, making the price more sensitive to small trades. The market is set to resolve based on the game's final outcome.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The extreme odds directly reflect the teams' performance and the specific game result. Stetson entered this late-February conference matchup with a 17-11 record, while Florida Gulf Coast was 12-16. More decisively, Stetson won the actual game on February 28 by a score of 77-70. The market price of 1% is not a forecast but a post-game reflection of this settled fact, with the market awaiting formal resolution. The lopsided pre-game expectations were validated by the on-court result, locking in the current pricing.
What Could Change These Odds
Nothing can change the fundamental odds. The game has been played and the outcome is known. The 1% price is stable because it represents the settled reality of a Stetson win. The only remaining variable is the administrative resolution process on Polymarket. Once resolved, the "Yes" share for a Florida Gulf Coast win will be valued at $0, and the "No" share at $1, finalizing the 99-1 implied probability.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.