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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 13 at 8:00PM ET: If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the Blues win, the market will resolve to "Blues". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added t
Prediction markets currently see the St. Louis Blues as a very slight favorite to win their April 13th game against the Minnesota Wild. The market price implies the Blues have about a 52% chance of winning, which is essentially a coin flip. This means traders collectively believe if this game were played ten times, the Blues would likely win just over five of them. It’s a forecast of near-perfect uncertainty.
Two main factors are likely keeping the odds this close. First, both teams are in a similar competitive position. As of late March, neither the Wild nor the Blues are likely to make the NHL playoffs. Games between teams eliminated from postseason contention can be unpredictable, as lineups may feature younger players and motivation can vary.
Second, the teams have split their previous two meetings this season. The Wild won 3-2 in a shootout in November, and the Blues won 3-1 in February. This recent history supports the idea that these are evenly matched clubs. The market isn’t seeing a strong reason to favor one side heavily, so the odds reflect a pure toss-up.
The most important date is the game itself on April 13. The main factor that could shift these odds before then is team news, especially regarding injuries or roster decisions. If either team announces it will rest key veterans or call up specific prospects from the minor leagues, the market could move. Watch for the starting goaltenders to be confirmed on game day, as that often causes a final shift in the betting odds.
For regular-season professional sports games, prediction markets and sportsbooks are generally very accurate. They aggregate a huge amount of information from experts and the public. However, their accuracy is highest close to game time. A forecast 17 days out for a matchup between non-playoff teams is inherently less reliable. The current 52% price is less a firm prediction and more a reflection of the available information, which suggests no clear advantage for either side. The odds will become more precise as the game approaches and more news emerges.
Prediction markets currently price a St. Louis Blues victory at 52 cents, implying a 52% probability. This suggests the market views the Blues as a slight favorite, but the odds are essentially a coin flip. The Minnesota Wild trade at 48 cents, reflecting a 48% chance. With only $0 in volume reported across six related markets, this is an extremely illiquid market with minimal money backing these prices. The lack of trading activity means these initial odds are highly tentative and not yet validated by significant participant conviction.
The slight edge for St. Louis likely reflects their stronger position in the Central Division standings and home-ice advantage for this matchup. The Blues have consistently been a playoff contender in recent seasons, while the Wild have struggled with roster transition and consistency. Head-to-head performance this season is a primary driver. If the Blues have won previous meetings, especially decisive victories, the market will price that historical advantage. Goaltending matchups and recent injury reports for key players like Kirill Kaprizov for Minnesota or Jordan Binnington for St. Louis would immediately shift these thin odds.
These probabilities are unstable due to the market's lack of liquidity. The first major catalyst will be the release of confirmed starting goaltenders, which typically occurs on the morning of the game. A key player being placed on injured reserve in the next 17 days would cause a sharp move. Pre-game betting line movement from major sportsbooks will also directly influence this prediction market, as traders often arbitrage between sportsbooks and Polymarket. The most significant volume and price discovery will occur in the 24 hours before puck drop, rendering current prices largely speculative.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market concerns the outcome of a regular season National Hockey League game between the Minnesota Wild and the St. Louis Blues, scheduled for April 13 at 8:00 PM Eastern Time. The market will resolve based on the official game result, including overtime and shootouts, with a win for Minnesota paying out to 'Wild' and a win for St. Louis paying out to 'Blues'. This late-season matchup holds significance for both franchises as they navigate the final stretch of the 2023-24 NHL regular season. The game is part of the Central Division rivalry, with both teams having competed in the same division since the 2013 realignment. Interest in this market stems from playoff implications, team momentum, and direct competition for divisional standings. The Blues entered the season with playoff aspirations after missing the postseason in 2023, while the Wild have faced challenges including a significant salary cap penalty and injuries to key players. The specific date places this game in the final week of the regular season, potentially magnifying its importance for postseason positioning or draft lottery odds depending on each team's standing at that time.
The rivalry between the Minnesota Wild and St. Louis Blues intensified after the 2013 NHL realignment placed both teams in the Central Division. They have met in the Stanley Cup Playoffs twice. In the 2015 Western Conference First Round, the Wild defeated the Blues in six games, with Devan Dubnyk posting a .913 save percentage for Minnesota. In the 2017 First Round, the Blues defeated the Wild in five games, with Jake Allen recording a shutout in the series-clinching Game 5. The regular season series has been relatively even over the past decade. From the 2013-14 season through the 2022-23 season, the Blues held a slight edge with a record of 24-19-6 against Minnesota. A notable regular season game occurred on March 12, 2022, when the Wild defeated the Blues 6-2, with Kirill Kaprizov recording a hat trick. The franchises have taken different competitive paths recently; the Blues won the Stanley Cup in 2019, while the Wild have not advanced past the first round of the playoffs since 2015.
The outcome of individual NHL games like this one influences playoff seeding, draft lottery odds, and franchise financial health. For teams on the playoff bubble, a single win or loss can mean the difference between postseason revenue, estimated at over $2 million per home playoff game, and an early offseason. For fans and local businesses, a winning team drives higher ticket sales, merchandise revenue, and viewership for regional sports networks. Beyond immediate results, games in late April serve as evaluations for roster decisions in the upcoming offseason, affecting player contracts, coaching strategies, and front office planning. The performance of key players can impact their market value in free agency or their appeal in potential trades, shaping the roster for the following season.
As of early April 2024, both teams are navigating the final weeks of the regular season. The Minnesota Wild, under coach John Hynes, have been inconsistent and are likely to miss the playoffs, barring an exceptional finish. They are managing significant long-term injured reserve situations, including defenseman Jared Spurgeon. The St. Louis Blues, led by interim coach Drew Bannister, remain in contention for a Western Conference wild card spot but face stiff competition from other teams like the Vegas Golden Knights and Nashville Predators. Their success hinges on consistent goaltending from Jordan Binnington and offensive production from Robert Thomas and Pavel Buchnevich.
The game is scheduled to be played at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Missouri. This gives the St. Louis Blues home-ice advantage for this regular season matchup.
National broadcast information for NHL games is typically announced a week in advance. The game will likely be broadcast on Bally Sports Midwest for Blues viewers, Bally Sports North for Wild viewers, and potentially on a national network like ESPN+ or TNT.
The most recent result will depend on games played earlier in the 2023-24 season. You can check the NHL's official website or sports statistics sites for the exact score and date of their last meeting prior to April 13.
Playoff chances fluctuate daily based on results. As of early April, websites like MoneyPuck and Hockey Reference provide updated statistical probabilities for each team making the postseason based on their current record and remaining schedule.
Kaprizov's injury status should be checked via the NHL's official injury reports or team announcements from the Minnesota Wild in the days leading up to the game. His availability is a major factor for the team's offense.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
6 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 51% |
| Poly | 50% |
| Poly | 50% |
| Poly | 50% |
| Poly | 50% |
| Poly | 49% |
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