Name: Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC
End: 2026-02-14T17:45:00.000Z

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Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?	Poly	100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?	Poly	0%
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Poly	0%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 14, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming FA Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, February 14, 2026 between Aston Villa FC and Newcastle United FC.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 14, 2026
If Aston Villa FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up ga"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $847.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $517.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.64)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 14, 2026): Vol $206.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 14, 2026): Vol $44.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 14, 2026): Vol $597.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/g-kZ6W" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC"></iframe>

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Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC

Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC

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Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC

Markets (3)

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

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Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?

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Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Will Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

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