$28.80K
1
6
$28.80K
1
6
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the CBB game between Hofstra Pride and Stony Brook Seawolves on January 15 at 7:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets are pricing in a near-certain outcome for the total points scored in this Coastal Athletic Association (CAA) matchup. On Polymarket, the contract for "Over 135.5 total points" is trading at 100 cents, implying the market sees a virtual 100% probability that the combined score will exceed 135.5 points. This extreme price indicates traders view the outcome as effectively decided, with no meaningful liquidity on the opposing "Under" position. The market's total volume of $29,000 is relatively thin, which is common for niche collegiate sports markets post-resolution.
The market's certainty is driven by the actual game result, which saw a high-scoring affair. The final score was Hofstra 83, Stony Brook 77, resulting in a total of 160 points. This decisively surpassed the 135.5 point line by a wide margin of 24.5 points. The high score aligns with both teams' season-long tendencies; entering the game, Hofstra averaged over 75 points per game while Stony Brook's defense had struggled, allowing an average of nearly 74 points. The game's pace and offensive execution validated pre-game analytics that favored a higher-scoring contest.
For an active market, odds would be sensitive to in-game developments like offensive efficiency, pace of play, and key injuries. A defensive struggle or a star player exiting early could shift probabilities toward the Under. However, this specific market is effectively closed, with the result known and the 100% price reflecting the settled outcome. The only remaining variable is the formal resolution by the market oracle, which will confirm the Over contract given the 160-point total. For future similar markets, traders should analyze team tempo, defensive ratings, and recent scoring trends to assess the validity of a posted total points line.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
The Hofstra Pride versus Stony Brook Seawolves men's basketball game on January 15 is a significant regional rivalry within the Coastal Athletic Association (CAA). This conference matchup pits two Long Island universities against each other in a contest that carries weight for both mid-season conference standings and local bragging rights. The game is scheduled for 7:00 PM Eastern Time at the Mack Sports Complex on Hofstra's campus in Hempstead, New York. For prediction markets, this event represents a wager on the game's outcome, with specific rules governing postponements and cancellations to ensure market integrity. The matchup is part of the 2023-2024 NCAA Division I men's basketball season. Interest in this game extends beyond typical college basketball viewership due to the intense local rivalry, often referred to as the 'Battle of Long Island,' and its implications for seeding in the upcoming CAA Tournament in March. Both teams are competing for positioning within the conference, where every win is crucial for improving tournament prospects and potential NCAA Tournament at-large bids, though an automatic bid via the conference tournament is the more likely path for CAA teams.
The basketball rivalry between Hofstra and Stony Brook dates back to November 27, 2000, when Hofstra won the first meeting 73-58. Historically, Hofstra has dominated the series, holding a significant advantage in the all-time wins column. For many years, the rivalry was an out-of-conference affair, as Hofstra was a member of the CAA while Stony Brook competed in the America East Conference. This changed ahead of the 2022-2023 season when Stony Brook joined the CAA, elevating the stakes of their matchups from non-conference bragging rights to games with direct implications for conference standings and tournament seeding. The most memorable recent encounter was the 2023 CAA Tournament quarterfinal, where Hofstra, as the number one seed, defeated Stony Brook 76-66 en route to the tournament championship game. This history adds a layer of postseason intensity to their regular-season meetings. The geographic proximity of the two campuses, separated by less than 50 miles, ensures a passionate fan presence and intense competition for local recruiting prospects, making every game a high-stakes event for both programs.
Beyond the final score, this game has tangible consequences for both universities and the CAA landscape. A win strengthens a team's resume for the CAA Tournament, where the champion receives an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament, a pinnacle event that brings national exposure, alumni engagement, and significant revenue. For the players, strong performances in rivalry games can enhance individual accolades and professional prospects. For the conferences and broadcast partners, compelling rivalries drive television ratings, ticket sales, and merchandise revenue, which are essential for the financial health of mid-major athletic departments. The game also matters to the local Long Island community, serving as a focal point for school spirit, alumni gatherings, and regional pride. The outcome can influence recruiting battles for high school talent in the talent-rich New York metropolitan area, shaping the future trajectory of both programs for years to come.
As of mid-January 2024, both teams are engaged in the heart of their CAA conference schedules. The specific records and rankings for the 2023-2024 season will be solidified in the games leading up to this January 15 matchup. Both coaching staffs are undoubtedly preparing specific game plans for this rivalry, analyzing recent game film to exploit weaknesses and counter strengths. Player health and availability will be monitored closely, as injuries can dramatically shift the pre-game outlook. The latest developments will include the results of each team's games immediately preceding this contest, which will provide the most current indicator of form, momentum, and tactical adjustments heading into this high-profile rivalry game.
The game is scheduled to be played at the Mack Sports Complex on the campus of Hofstra University in Hempstead, New York. This gives Hofstra the home-court advantage for this matchup.
The television or streaming broadcast details for CAA games are typically announced by the conference and can be found on the official athletics websites of Hofstra and Stony Brook. It is often carried on regional sports networks or streaming platforms like FloSports.
The most recent meeting was a CAA Tournament quarterfinal game on March 5, 2023. The top-seeded Hofstra Pride defeated the Stony Brook Seawolves by a score of 76-66.
Yes. Since the 2022-2023 academic year, both Hofstra University and Stony Brook University are members of the Coastal Athletic Association (CAA) for men's basketball, making their games conference matchups.
According to the prediction market rules for this specific event, if the game is postponed, the market will remain open and active until the game has been completed at a later date. The market will then resolve based on that result.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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6 markets tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
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| Poly | 100% |
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| Poly | 23% |
| Poly | 11% |
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