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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Another Elon baby by December 31?

Another Elon baby by December 31?
Vol

PM $1.1K

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 11.2% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes11.2%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.1K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiTech
Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

Elon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026

K 98.6K contracts
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $600 billion?Yes 89%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $500 billion?Yes 86.5%
Will Elon Musk's net worth for December 31, 2026 be above $700 billion?Yes 81%
+18 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

PM $1.95M
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes 97.2%
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?Yes 0.8%
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31?Yes 0.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
2nd richest person on December 31?

2nd richest person on December 31?

PM $48.3K
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 53.5%
Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 36.5%
Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes 25.7%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketTech
3rd richest person on December 31?

3rd richest person on December 31?

PM $28.2K
Will Warren Buffett be 3rd richest person on December 31?Yes 43.9%
Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on December 31?Yes 41.9%
Will Larry Ellison be 3rd richest person on December 31?Yes 33.4%
+8 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

PM $131.7K
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Yes 40%
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?Yes 6.5%
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31?Yes 4.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?

When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?

PM $465.7K · K 10.5K contracts

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2028?

Related contracts

PM Yes 63%Rules differK Yes 64%

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will any AI lab solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 24.5%Rules differK Yes 32%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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