Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved event covers one eBasketball game, New Orleans Pelicans (Clyde) versus Indiana Pacers (Shaq), in the Valhalla League 2026 Week #43 [1]. The two contracts are "New Orleans Pelicans (Clyde) wins" and "Indiana Pacers (Shaq) wins." Under the event rules, a "Yes" on the Pelicans contract resolves if the Pelicans win, and the Pacers contract works the same way for the Pacers [1].

The rules also set fallback outcomes. A tie or draw, or a cancellation or postponement of more than two weeks from the originally scheduled start, resolves all markets to $0.50. A postponed game that starts within two weeks stays open and resolves on the official final result [1]. The source states the game was "originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026 at 8:22 AM EDT" [1]. That is a rule reference, not evidence of when the game was played or whether it was.

Reading the snapshot

The prices come from a snapshot observed at 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z and retrieved on 2026-10-22 [1]. They describe that moment only and are not current quotes. The Pelicans "Yes" price was 0.51 and the Pacers "Yes" price was 0.49 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the spread between them says nothing about who is more likely to win.

The sample is complete for this event: two of two saved markets were included, and the record reports no partial sample [1]. Even so, the source notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. The tie fallback at $0.50 is a rule, not a listed market, so it does not appear in the prices.

The two contracts sit on the same event and their prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot. Their prices do not show an arbitrage opportunity. Volume data was not included, so this snapshot cannot speak to liquidity or the number of traders.

What remains uncertain

The listed end date is 2026-11-04T12:22:00.000Z [1]. The source's own end time field reads "not supplied," and its rules say the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. So the listed date is a provider field, not a confirmed resolution time.

The evidence does not show the game's current status, whether it was played, postponed, or cancelled, or the final result. It also does not explain why prices were where they were at observation. Readers should check the provider page for the latest status before drawing conclusions.

References

1. Kalshi: eBasketball: New Orleans Pelicans (Clyde) vs Indiana Pacers (Shaq). Provider data observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z.