Name: Mexico vs. South Africa
End: 2026-06-11T19:00:00.000Z

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Mexico vs. South Africa | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

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Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Poly	66%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Poly	21%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Poly	14%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, April 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mexico vs. South Africa
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jun 11, 2026 (56 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, June 11, 2026 between Mexico and South Africa.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 11, 2026
If Mexico wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this mar"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $195
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 11, 2026): Vol $135
  DATA: [Yes: 66.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 11, 2026): Vol $46
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jun 11, 2026): Vol $14
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

55d 19h remaining

Jun 11, 2026 7:00 PM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

34¢

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Mexico vs. South Africa

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Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Mexico vs. South Africa

Markets (3)

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

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Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Mexico vs. South Africa

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

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Discussion

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