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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?

Bayeux Tapestry back in France by…?
Vol

PM $8.7K

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Events

1

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Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31, 2027 at 87.5%.

Polymarket

  1. December 31, 202787.5%
  2. July 31, 202734.5%
  3. December 31, 20262.4%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $8.7K

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

If the Bayeux Tapestry enters France between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, entrance is defined as any portion of the Bayeux Tapestry physically entering the terrestrial territory of France. Whether or not it enters French airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. This market will remain open for seven days after the specified date to allow time for confirmation of the Tapestry's entrance into France. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketWorld
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?

PM $210.9K
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026?Yes 2.8%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by November 15, 2026?Yes 2.1%
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?Yes 0.9%
3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
France declares state of emergency by...?

France declares state of emergency by...?

PM $210.5K
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Yes 6.5%
France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026?Yes 0.3%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

Which leaders will leave office in 2026?

K 3.84M contracts
Will Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 48%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 37.5%
Will Sébastien Lecornu leave Prime Minister of France before Jan 1, 2027?Yes 20.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Jan 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Laurent Nuñez announces departure as Interior Minister of France?

Laurent Nuñez announces departure as Interior Minister of France?

K 1.5K contracts
Will Laurent Nuñez announce their departure as Interior Minister of France before Nov 1, 2026?Yes 17%
1 mktNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiEntertainment
#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?

#2 Song on Spotify in 2026?

K 33.6K contracts
Will Babydoll be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 85.5%
Will End of Beginning be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 10%
Will Beauty and a Beat be the #2 most streamed Song on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Songs Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?Yes 2.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Jan 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Which G7 leader will leave office next?

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

K 28.0K contracts
Will President of France be the first to leave office?Yes 71.5%
Will Chancellor of Germany be the first to leave office?Yes 15%
Will Prime Minister of Italy be the first to leave office?Yes 8.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2045 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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