
$49.37K
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12

$49.37K
1
12
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
2026 Men's West Coast Conference Regular Season If X is the 2025-26 Men's College Basketball West Coast Conference regular season champion, then the market resolves to Yes. If multiple participants are officially recognized as co-champions, then the markets for those participants will resolve such that “Yes” holders receive $1 / [number of co-champions] This market will close and expire early after a result is declared.
Prediction markets currently assign an 83% probability that Gonzaga will win the 2025-26 Men's West Coast Conference (WCC) regular season championship. This price, trading on Kalshi, indicates the market views a Gonzaga title as the overwhelming favorite, though not a complete certainty. The remaining 17% probability is distributed among other WCC teams, reflecting a belief that an upset, while unlikely, is still a plausible scenario. The market's total volume of approximately $49,000 across 12 team-specific markets is considered thin, suggesting lower liquidity and potentially higher volatility in the odds if new information emerges.
The primary factor is Gonzaga's historical dominance. The Bulldogs have won or shared the WCC regular season title in every season since 2001, establishing a nearly two-decade dynasty. This historical precedent makes them the default favorite in any preseason assessment. Secondly, the program's consistent ability to reload with high-level talent, often through the transfer portal and strong recruiting, typically creates a significant talent gap between Gonzaga and the rest of the conference. Even in perceived "down" years, they have maintained their conference supremacy. The current 83% price essentially quantifies this established structural advantage within the WCC.
The most likely catalyst for shifting odds would be significant roster news for Gonzaga or a contender. An unexpected departure of a key player or coach from Gonzaga before the season could increase the perceived vulnerability. Conversely, a major transfer portal acquisition by a primary rival like Saint Mary's could temporarily tighten the spread. Once the season begins, an early conference loss by Gonzaga, especially if paired with a strong start from another team, would likely cause the probability to dip from its current lofty level. The market will remain sensitive to any news that suggests the perennial power dynamic might be challenged in the 2025-26 campaign.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
The WCC Regular Season Champion prediction market focuses on determining which men's college basketball team will win the 2025-26 West Coast Conference regular season title. This market allows participants to speculate on the outcome of the conference's 18-game regular season schedule, where teams compete for the championship based on their conference win-loss records. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the team that is officially recognized as champion, with specific provisions for co-championship scenarios where multiple teams share the title. The West Coast Conference, founded in 1952, has evolved into one of the most competitive mid-major conferences in NCAA Division I basketball, particularly known for its strong basketball programs that regularly produce NBA talent and NCAA Tournament contenders. Recent interest in this market stems from the conference's growing national profile, driven by the sustained success of programs like Gonzaga, which has transformed from a little-known program into a perennial national powerhouse. The 2025-26 season is particularly intriguing as it represents a potential transition period with coaching changes, player development cycles, and the continued emergence of programs like Saint Mary's and San Francisco challenging Gonzaga's long-standing dominance. Bettors and analysts follow this market closely because it serves as a leading indicator of which teams will receive automatic consideration for NCAA Tournament bids and reflects the competitive balance within one of college basketball's most watched conferences.
The West Coast Conference's basketball championship history reveals distinct eras of competitive balance and dominance. From the conference's founding in 1952 through the 1990s, the championship was relatively balanced among members, with San Francisco winning 14 titles during the Bill Russell and K.C. Jones era in the 1950s, followed by periods of success for Santa Clara, Pepperdine, and Loyola Marymount. The modern era of WCC basketball began in 1999 when Mark Few took over at Gonzaga and began building what would become one of college basketball's most remarkable dynasties. Gonzaga's first WCC regular season championship under Few came in 2001, beginning a run of dominance that has seen them win 24 of the next 25 titles. The only interruption came in 2012 when Saint Mary's, led by guard Matthew Dellavedova, edged Gonzaga by one game in the standings. This historical context matters because it establishes Gonzaga as the overwhelming historical favorite while highlighting Saint Mary's as the only program to consistently challenge them. The conference expanded from 8 to 10 teams in 2011 with the addition of Brigham Young University, which immediately became competitive before leaving for the Big 12 in 2023, and the University of the Pacific, which rejoined the conference it had left in 1971. This expansion and subsequent realignment have periodically reshaped the competitive landscape, though Gonzaga's dominance has remained largely unchallenged except by Randy Bennett's Saint Mary's program.
The WCC regular season championship carries significant implications beyond conference bragging rights. For the winning program, it typically guarantees a high seed in the WCC Tournament and strengthens their case for an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament should they not win the conference tournament. This matters financially because NCAA Tournament participation generates substantial revenue through the NCAA's distribution system, with each game played worth approximately $2 million over a six-year payout cycle through the basketball performance fund. For the conference itself, having multiple competitive teams enhances its national reputation, television contract value, and recruiting appeal. The WCC's current media rights agreement with ESPN and CBS Sports Network, signed in 2021, provides increased exposure and revenue that is distributed among member institutions based partly on competitive success. Socially, the championship race engages alumni bases, local communities, and student populations across eight states where WCC schools are located, from Washington to California to Oregon. The outcome also affects the professional prospects of players, as NBA scouts closely monitor performance in conference play, particularly in competitive environments against Gonzaga's nationally-ranked teams. A team that challenges or dethrones Gonzaga gains immediate national recognition that can boost recruiting, fundraising, and institutional prestige for years to come.
As of the 2024-25 season conclusion, Gonzaga has won its 12th consecutive WCC regular season championship, extending its historic dominance. However, the 2025-26 season presents new dynamics with several key players from contending teams exhausting their eligibility and coaching staff changes across the conference. Saint Mary's returns a strong core from their 2025 NCAA Tournament team, while San Francisco continues to build momentum under Chris Gerlufsen with a top-25 recruiting class. The conference schedule for 2025-26 has not been finalized but will follow the standard 18-game format where each team plays seven opponents twice and two opponents once. Early preseason projections for 2025-26 suggest Gonzaga remains the favorite but may face its strongest challenge in years from both Saint Mary's and an ascending San Francisco program.
The champion is determined by the best win-loss record in the 18-game conference schedule. Tiebreakers include head-to-head results, record against common opponents in descending order of finish, and if necessary, a coin flip administered by the conference commissioner.
No. Since 2001, every WCC regular season championship has been won by either Gonzaga (24 titles) or Saint Mary's (3 titles). The last champion from another program was Pepperdine in 2000, before Mark Few's Gonzaga dynasty began.
The WCC recognizes co-champions if teams finish with identical records. In such cases, each team is officially recognized as champion, and for prediction market purposes, the payout is divided equally among the co-champions.
Winning the regular season championship significantly strengthens a team's NCAA Tournament resume, particularly for at-large consideration. The champion typically receives the top seed in the WCC Tournament and is viewed favorably by the NCAA selection committee, often resulting in a better seed than non-champions with similar records.
Gonzaga has compiled a remarkable 384-58 record in WCC regular season games since Mark Few became head coach in 1999, representing an .869 winning percentage that is the highest of any program in any conference during that period.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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12 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
Will Gonzaga be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 86% |
Will Saint Mary's be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 16% |
Will Oregon St. be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 5% |
Will Santa Clara be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 2% |
Will Washington St. be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 1% |
Will San Diego be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 1% |
Will San Francisco be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 1% |
Will Seattle be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 1% |
Will Portland be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 1% |
Will Pepperdine be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 1% |
Will Pacific be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 1% |
Will Loyola Marymount be the West Coast Conference regular season champions? | Kalshi | 1% |
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