Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIMentions

What will Target say during their next earnings call?

Total Volume

$751.39

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

What will Target say during their next earnings call?

Vol

$751.39

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $751.39

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $751.39

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Target Plus)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Target Plus)	Kalshi	89%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Back to School)	Kalshi	87%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Beauty (3+ times))	Kalshi	86%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Roundel)	Kalshi	83%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Fun 101)	Kalshi	83%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Circle 360)	Kalshi	79%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Revenue)	Kalshi	78%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Remodel (3+ times))	Kalshi	77%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)	Kalshi	76%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Agentic)	Kalshi	70%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (PetaJane / Peta Jane)	Kalshi	36%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (OpenAI / Open AI)	Kalshi	33%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)	Kalshi	28%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Competition)	Kalshi	14%
What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (SNAP / Food Stamp)	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

Top Probability

$751.39

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Nov 18, 2026 If X is said by any Target Corporation representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Target Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Target Corporation earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Target Corporation earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payou

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Target say during their next earnings call?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Nov 18, 2026

If X is said by any Target Corporation representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Target Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Target Corporation earnings call. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Target Corporation earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. Payou

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tariff is said by any Target Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Target Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved
Video of the Target Corporation earn"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $751
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Tariff)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (SNAP / Food Stamp)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Roundel)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $124
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Revenue)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Remodel (3+ times))
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $24
  DATA: [Yes: 77.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Target Plus)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $55
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (PetaJane / Peta Jane)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $179
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (OpenAI / Open AI)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $29
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Inflation)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Fun 101)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $132
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Competition)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Circle 360)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 79.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Beauty (3+ times))
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $115
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Back to School)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Agentic)
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 2, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIMentions

What will Target say during their next earnings call?

Volume$751.39

Markets15

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KALSHI

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Target Plus)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 89.0¢No 11.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Target Plus)

If Target Plus is said by any Target Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Target Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Target Corporation

KALSHI

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Back to School)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Back to School)

If Back to School is said by any Target Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Target Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Target Corporat

KALSHI

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Beauty (3+ times))

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Beauty (3+ times))

If Beauty (3+ times) is said by any Target Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Target Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Target Corpo

KALSHI

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Roundel)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.0¢No 17.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Roundel)

If Roundel is said by any Target Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Target Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Target Corporation ear

KALSHI

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Fun 101)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.0¢No 17.0¢

KALSHICompanies

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Fun 101)

If Fun 101 is said by any Target Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Target Corporation live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: How this is resolved Video of the Target Corporation ear

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What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Target Plus)

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Events (1)

What will Target say during their next earnings call?

Markets (15)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Target Plus)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Target Plus)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Back to School)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Back to School)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Beauty (3+ times))

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Beauty (3+ times))

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Roundel)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Roundel)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Fun 101)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Fun 101)

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What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Target Plus)

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What will Target say during their next earnings call?

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Target Plus)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Target Plus)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Back to School)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Back to School)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Beauty (3+ times))

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Beauty (3+ times))

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Roundel)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Roundel)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Fun 101)

What will Target Corporation say during their next earnings call? (Fun 101)

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