$1.49M
2
18
$1.49M
2
18
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
In Q4 2025 If real GDP, as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate, increases by more than X then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2025, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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18 markets tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
Will **real GDP** increase by more than -0.5% in Q4 2025? | Kalshi | 100% |
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0% in Q4 2025? | Kalshi | 99% |
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q4 2025? | Kalshi | 99% |
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q4 2025? | Kalshi | 97% |
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q4 2025? | Kalshi | 96% |
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.25% in Q4 2025? | Kalshi | 94% |
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.75% in Q4 2025? | Kalshi | 92% |
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q4 2025? | Kalshi | 88% |
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q4 2025? | Kalshi | 79% |
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q4 2025? | Kalshi | 62% |
 | Poly | 48% |
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q4 2025? | Kalshi | 46% |
| Poly | 13% |
| Poly | 12% |
| Poly | 9% |
| Poly | 8% |
| Poly | 3% |
| Poly | 2% |
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In Q4 2025 If real GDP, as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate, increases by more than X then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2025, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2025, scheduled for January 29, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance est
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Polymarket
$219.76K
Kalshi
$1.27M
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