This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Eurovision Last Place 2026

Name: Eurovision Last Place 2026
End: 2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$70.13K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Eurovision Last Place 2026

Vol

$70.13K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $70.13K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $70.13K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

35 markets tracked

Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	30%
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	19%
Will Latvia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	19%
Will Georgia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	17%
Will Switzerland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	16%
Will Moldova come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	15%
Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Malta come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Albania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	14%
Will Luxembourg come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	12%
Will Montenegro come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	12%
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	7%
Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	6%
Will San Marino come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Portugal come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Czechia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Norway come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Azerbaijan come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Denmark come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Poland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	2%
Will Bulgaria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Armenia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Italy come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Sweden come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Cyprus come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Ukraine come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Croatia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Australia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	1%
Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	0%
Will France come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Serbia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Finland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	0%
Will Romania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

30%

Top Probability

$70.13K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Eurovision Last Place 2026
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 16, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final.

If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final.

If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. 

The primary resolution"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $70.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $51.7K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.36)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Albania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $638
  DATA: [Yes: 14.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $20.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $753
  DATA: [Yes: 6.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Croatia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $598
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Czechia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $812
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Estonia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $890
  DATA: [Yes: 14.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will France come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $953
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Israel come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Latvia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $775
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Luxembourg come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $682
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.9% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Moldova come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $654
  DATA: [Yes: 14.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.4% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Norway come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $662
  DATA: [Yes: 2.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Portugal come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $981
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will San Marino come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $831
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.9% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Sweden come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $900
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Ukraine come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Armenia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $917
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Australia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $637
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Azerbaijan come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Bulgaria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $820
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Cyprus come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $609
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Denmark come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $671
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Finland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $15.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Georgia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $609
  DATA: [Yes: 16.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.3% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Greece come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $598
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Italy come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $598
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Lithuania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $657
  DATA: [Yes: 14.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.8% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Malta come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $620
  DATA: [Yes: 14.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.7% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Montenegro come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $689
  DATA: [Yes: 11.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Poland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $704
  DATA: [Yes: 1.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.4% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Romania come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $859
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Serbia come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $593
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Switzerland come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $680
  DATA: [Yes: 16.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.6% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $9.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture