GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETEconomy

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Name: Canada Annual Inflation 2026
End: 2027-01-18T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$40.55K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Vol

$40.55K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $40.55K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $40.55K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?	Poly	37%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	Poly	22%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?	Poly	17%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Poly	17%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?	Poly	5%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?	Poly	5%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.0%?	Poly	5%
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

37%

Top Probability

$40.55K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Statistics Canada report. The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Canada Annual Inflation 2026
**Category:** Economy | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 18, 2027 (135 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.

The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period endin"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $40.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $17.3K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.34)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 22.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.1% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.0%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $539
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $14.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.8% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 18, 2027): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.3% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETEconomy