$120.45K
2
48
$120.45K
2
48
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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36 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 30% | 0% |
 | 19% | 16% | 3% |
| 18% | 14% | 4% |
| 17% | 14% | 3% |
| 16% | 14% | 2% |
| 13% | 10% | 4% |
| 10% | 10% | 1% |
| 5% | 12% | 7% |
 | 8% | 9% | 0% |
| 9% | 7% | 2% |
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Before Jan 1, 2027 If X has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a pardon is granted. This market will close and expire early if a pardon is granted.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Polymarket
$81.41K
Kalshi
$39.04K
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