Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIFinancials

Lyft total rides in Q3

Total Volume

$3.11K

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Lyft total rides in Q3

Vol

$3.11K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $3.11K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.11K

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 258 million total rides in Q3 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 258 million total rides in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	91%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 260 million total rides in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	86%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 262 million total rides in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	80%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 264 million total rides in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	70%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 266 million total rides in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	66%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 268 million total rides in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	51%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 270 million total rides in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	36%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 272 million total rides in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	25%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 274 million total rides in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	23%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 278 million total rides in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	8%
Will Lyft Inc. report Above 276 million total rides in Q3 2026?	Kalshi	7%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$3.11K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

total rides in Q3 2026 If Lyft Inc. reports Above X total rides in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lyft total rides in Q3
**Category:** Financials | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** total rides in Q3 2026

If Lyft Inc. reports Above X total rides in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Lyft Inc. reports Above 278000000 total rides in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of the"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Lyft Inc. report Above 278 million total rides in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $142
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Lyft Inc. report Above 276 million total rides in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $44
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lyft Inc. report Above 274 million total rides in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $312
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Lyft Inc. report Above 272 million total rides in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $429
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Lyft Inc. report Above 270 million total rides in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $621
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Lyft Inc. report Above 268 million total rides in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $380
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Lyft Inc. report Above 266 million total rides in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $339
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Lyft Inc. report Above 264 million total rides in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $358
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Lyft Inc. report Above 262 million total rides in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $403
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Lyft Inc. report Above 260 million total rides in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $38
  DATA: [Yes: 86.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Lyft Inc. report Above 258 million total rides in Q3 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $43
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIFinancials

Lyft total rides in Q3

Volume$3.11K

Markets11

11 of 11

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KALSHI

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 258 million total rides in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 258 million total rides in Q3 2026?

If Lyft Inc. reports Above 258000000 total rides in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of the

KALSHI

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 260 million total rides in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.0¢No 14.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 260 million total rides in Q3 2026?

If Lyft Inc. reports Above 260000000 total rides in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of the

KALSHI

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 262 million total rides in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 79.5¢No 20.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 262 million total rides in Q3 2026?

If Lyft Inc. reports Above 262000000 total rides in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of the

KALSHI

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 264 million total rides in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.0¢No 30.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 264 million total rides in Q3 2026?

If Lyft Inc. reports Above 264000000 total rides in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of the

KALSHI

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 266 million total rides in Q3 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 266 million total rides in Q3 2026?

If Lyft Inc. reports Above 266000000 total rides in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of the

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49¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/gGwZKt" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Lyft total rides in Q3"></iframe>

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Will Lyft Inc. report Above 258 million total rides in Q3 2026?

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Events (1)

Lyft total rides in Q3

Markets (11)

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 258 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 258 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 260 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 260 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 262 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 262 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 264 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 264 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 266 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 266 million total rides in Q3 2026?

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Will Lyft Inc. report Above 258 million total rides in Q3 2026?

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Lyft total rides in Q3

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 258 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 258 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 260 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 260 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 262 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 262 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 264 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 264 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 266 million total rides in Q3 2026?

Will Lyft Inc. report Above 266 million total rides in Q3 2026?

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