GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

Name: MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
End: 2026-10-11T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.29M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)

Vol

$1.29M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.29M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.29M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

30 markets tracked

Will the Cincinnati Reds have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(30)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Cincinnati Reds have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	68%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	16%
Will the Chicago Cubs have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	12%
Will the Detroit Tigers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	8%
Will the Athletics have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	4%
Will the Cleveland Guardians have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	3%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	3%
Will the New York Yankees have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	3%
Will the Miami Marlins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will the New York Mets have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	1%
Will the Baltimore Orioles have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Chicago White Sox have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Kansas City Royals have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Atlanta Braves have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Colorado Rockies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Texas Rangers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Washington Nationals have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Boston Red Sox have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Houston Astros have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Minnesota Twins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the San Diego Padres have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the San Francisco Giants have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the Seattle Mariners have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will the St. Louis Cardinals have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

68%

Top Probability

$1.29M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB: Highest ABS Challenge Success Rate (Team)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 11, 2026 (37 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the team that records the highest ABS challenge won% during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.29M
* **Total Liquidity:** $19.1K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 67.58)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Arizona Diamondbacks have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the Atlanta Braves have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $555
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the Baltimore Orioles have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $581
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the Boston Red Sox have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $407
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the Chicago Cubs have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.9% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the Chicago White Sox have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $567
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the Cincinnati Reds have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the Cleveland Guardians have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $504
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the Colorado Rockies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the Detroit Tigers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $153.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the Houston Astros have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $456
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the Kansas City Royals have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $836
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the Los Angeles Angels have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $448
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the Los Angeles Dodgers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.3% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the Miami Marlins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $93.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.8% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the Milwaukee Brewers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $600
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the Minnesota Twins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $518
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the New York Mets have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $465.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will the New York Yankees have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will the Athletics have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will the Philadelphia Phillies have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $557.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will the Pittsburgh Pirates have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $356
  DATA: [Yes: 1.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will the San Diego Padres have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will the San Francisco Giants have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $384
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will the Seattle Mariners have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $374
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will the St. Louis Cardinals have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $473
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the Tampa Bay Rays have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will the Texas Rangers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will the Toronto Blue Jays have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $374
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will the Washington Nationals have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 11, 2026): Vol $545
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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