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Manchester United: Next Manager

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Manchester United: Next Manager

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

22 markets tracked

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Michael Carrick)

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Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Michael Carrick)	Kalshi	72%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Andoni Iraola)	Kalshi	12%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Oliver Glasner)	Kalshi	11%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Luis Enrique)	Kalshi	6%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Gareth Southgate)	Kalshi	5%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Mauricio Pochettino)	Kalshi	2%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Kieran McKenna)	Kalshi	2%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Thomas Tuchel)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Xabi Alonso)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Nuno Espirito Santo)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Zinedine Zidane)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Xavi Hernandez)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Unai Emery)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Simone Inzaghi)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Robert De Zerbi)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Ole Gunnar Solskjaer)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Jose Mourinho)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Enzo Maresca)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Eddie Howe)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Darren Fletcher)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Carlo Ancelotti)	Kalshi	1%
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Ange Postecoglou)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

72%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

2026 If X becomes the next permanent manager of Manchester United before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Interim, caretaker, or temporary managers do not satisfy the Payout Criterion unless they are subsequently appointed to the permanent position. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Manchester United: Next Manager
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If X becomes the next permanent manager of Manchester United before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Interim, caretaker, or temporary managers do not satisfy the Payout Criterion unless they are subsequently appointed to the permanent position. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Luis Enrique becomes the next permanent manager of Manchester United before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim, caretaker, or temporary managers do not satisfy the Payout Criterion unless they are subsequently appointed to the permanent position. Early close co"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Luis Enrique)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Thomas Tuchel)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Xabi Alonso)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Nuno Espirito Santo)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Zinedine Zidane)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Xavi Hernandez)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Unai Emery)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Simone Inzaghi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Robert De Zerbi)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Ole Gunnar Solskjaer)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Oliver Glasner)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Mauricio Pochettino)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Michael Carrick)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 72.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 28.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Kieran McKenna)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Jose Mourinho)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Gareth Southgate)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Enzo Maresca)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Eddie Howe)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Darren Fletcher)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Carlo Ancelotti)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Ange Postecoglou)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Andoni Iraola)
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Manchester United: Next Manager

Volume$0.00

Markets22

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KALSHI

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Michael Carrick)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 72.0¢No 28.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Michael Carrick)

If Michael Carrick becomes the next permanent manager of Manchester United before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim, caretaker, or temporary managers do not satisfy the Payout Criterion unless they are subsequently appointed to the permanent position. Early close

KALSHI

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Andoni Iraola)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Andoni Iraola)

If Andoni Iraola becomes the next permanent manager of Manchester United before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim, caretaker, or temporary managers do not satisfy the Payout Criterion unless they are subsequently appointed to the permanent position. Early close c

KALSHI

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Oliver Glasner)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Oliver Glasner)

If Oliver Glasner becomes the next permanent manager of Manchester United before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim, caretaker, or temporary managers do not satisfy the Payout Criterion unless they are subsequently appointed to the permanent position. Early close

KALSHI

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Luis Enrique)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Luis Enrique)

If Luis Enrique becomes the next permanent manager of Manchester United before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim, caretaker, or temporary managers do not satisfy the Payout Criterion unless they are subsequently appointed to the permanent position. Early close co

KALSHI

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Gareth Southgate)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.0¢No 95.0¢

KALSHICrypto

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Gareth Southgate)

If Gareth Southgate becomes the next permanent manager of Manchester United before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Interim, caretaker, or temporary managers do not satisfy the Payout Criterion unless they are subsequently appointed to the permanent position. Early clos

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/gMuKYh" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Manchester United: Next Manager"></iframe>

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Manchester United: Next Manager

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Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Michael Carrick)

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Events (1)

Manchester United: Next Manager

Markets (22)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Michael Carrick)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Michael Carrick)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Andoni Iraola)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Andoni Iraola)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Oliver Glasner)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Oliver Glasner)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Luis Enrique)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Luis Enrique)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Gareth Southgate)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Gareth Southgate)

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Discussion

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Michael Carrick)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Manchester United: Next Manager

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Michael Carrick)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Michael Carrick)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Andoni Iraola)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Andoni Iraola)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Oliver Glasner)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Oliver Glasner)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Luis Enrique)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Luis Enrique)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Gareth Southgate)

Who will be the next manager of Manchester United? (Gareth Southgate)

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Discussion

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