Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

McDonald's Egg McMuffin price in October

Total Volume

$11.95K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

McDonald's Egg McMuffin price in October

Vol

$11.95K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $11.95K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.95K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.76?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.76?	Kalshi	97%
Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.77?	Kalshi	83%
Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.78?	Kalshi	44%
Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.79?	Kalshi	23%
Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.80?	Kalshi	15%
Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.81?	Kalshi	8%
Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.82?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$11.95K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

October 2026 If the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, "the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin” means the first October 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “McDonald's Egg McMuffin Price” / “Price, USD, ”. Corrections or revisions made after settlement will not affect the outcome. This market and these products have not been endorsed by McDonald’s Corporation or its affiliate

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** McDonald's Egg McMuffin price in October
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** October 2026

If the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, "the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin” means the first October 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “McDonald's Egg McMuffin Price” / “Price, USD, ”. Corrections or revisions made after settlement will not affect the outcome. This market and these products have not been endorsed by McDonald’s Corporation or its affiliate

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 is at least $4.82, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, "the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin” means the first October 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “McDonald's Eg"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $11.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.82?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $351
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.81?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.80?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.79?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.78?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $231
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.77?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $195
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.76?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 9, 2026): Vol $8.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

McDonald's Egg McMuffin price in October

Volume$11.95K

Markets7

7 of 7

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KALSHI

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.76?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.76?

If the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 is at least $4.76, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, "the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin” means the first October 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “McDonald's Eg

KALSHI

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.77?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.0¢No 17.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.77?

If the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 is at least $4.77, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, "the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin” means the first October 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “McDonald's Eg

KALSHI

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.78?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.5¢No 56.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.78?

If the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 is at least $4.78, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, "the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin” means the first October 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “McDonald's Eg

KALSHI

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.79?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 23.0¢No 77.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.79?

If the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 is at least $4.79, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, "the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin” means the first October 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “McDonald's Eg

KALSHI

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.80?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 15.0¢No 85.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.80?

If the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 is at least $4.80, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: For purposes of this market, "the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin” means the first October 2026 value reported by Spice Data for “McDonald's Eg

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Average Yes Price

39¢

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McDonald's Egg McMuffin price in October

McDonald's Egg McMuffin price in October

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Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.76?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

McDonald's Egg McMuffin price in October

Markets (7)

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.76?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.76?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.77?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.77?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.78?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.78?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.79?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.79?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.80?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.80?

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Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.76?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

McDonald's Egg McMuffin price in October

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.76?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.76?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.77?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.77?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.78?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.78?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.79?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.79?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.80?

Will the average U.S. price of a McDonald's Egg McMuffin for October 2026 be at least $4.80?

Related News & Context

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