Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

New York gas prices tomorrow

Total Volume

$22.17K

Events

Markets

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New York gas prices tomorrow

Vol

$22.17K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $22.17K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.17K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4350?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4450?	Kalshi	97%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4500?	Kalshi	95%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4300?	Kalshi	91%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4250?	Kalshi	90%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4200?	Kalshi	90%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4150?	Kalshi	90%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4600?	Kalshi	15%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4650?	Kalshi	12%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4950?	Kalshi	10%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4850?	Kalshi	10%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4700?	Kalshi	10%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4750?	Kalshi	10%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4900?	Kalshi	9%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4800?	Kalshi	9%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4550?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$22.17K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 13, 2026 If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than X on Oct 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New York gas prices tomorrow
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 13, 2026

If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than X on Oct 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.4950 on Oct 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4950?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4900?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4850?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $500
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4750?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4700?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4650?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4550?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $265
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4500?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4450?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4350?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4300?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4250?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4150?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

New York gas prices tomorrow

On Oct 13, 2026 If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than X on Oct 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$22.17K

Markets17

17 of 17

Sort:

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?

If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.4400 on Oct 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.4350?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.4350?

If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.4350 on Oct 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.4450?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.4450?

If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.4450 on Oct 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.4500?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.4500?

If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.4500 on Oct 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.4300?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will average gas prices be above $4.4300?

If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly greater than $4.4300 on Oct 13, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Average Yes Price

49¢

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New York gas prices tomorrow

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Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4400?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

New York gas prices tomorrow

Markets (17)

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4350?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4350?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4450?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4450?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4300?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4300?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4400?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

New York gas prices tomorrow

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4350?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4350?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4450?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4450?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4500?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4300?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4300?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget

Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4350?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4350?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4450?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4450?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4300?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4300?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4350?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4350?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4450?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4450?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4500?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4300?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4300?