Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Player Props

Name: 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Player Props
End: 2026-10-10T13:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$55.99

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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Player Props

Vol

$55.99

Events

Markets

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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markets · $55.99

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $55.99

100%

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

46 markets tracked

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ assists

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(46)

Market	Platform	Price
Afonso Bastardo: 2+ assists	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 3+ assists	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 2+ goals + assists	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 3+ goals + assists	Poly	50%
Eric Martel: 4+ shots	Poly	50%
Phillip Tietz: 4+ shots	Poly	50%
Phillip Tietz: 5+ shots	Poly	50%
Philipp Mwene: 2+ shots	Poly	50%
Philipp Mwene: 3+ shots	Poly	50%
Philipp Mwene: 4+ shots	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 1+ shots	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 2+ shots	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 3+ shots	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 4+ shots	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 5+ shots	Poly	50%
Anthony Caci: 2+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Anthony Caci: 3+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Kacper Potulski: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Kaishu Sano: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Fabio Gruber: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Eric Martel: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Stefan Posch: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Phillip Tietz: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Phillip Tietz: 2+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Nadiem Amiri: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Sheraldo Becker: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Philipp Mwene: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 2+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 3+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Afonso Bastardo: 4+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Ibrahim Maza: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Jarrell Quansah: 2+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Jarrell Quansah: 3+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Robert Andrich: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Robert Andrich: 2+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Aleix García: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Moussa Diaby: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Moussa Diaby: 2+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Patrik Schick: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Patrik Schick: 2+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Edmond Tapsoba: 2+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Facundo Medina: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Miguel Gutiérrez: 1+ shots on target	Poly	50%
Mark Flekken: 1+ saves	Poly	50%
Mark Flekken: 2+ saves	Poly	50%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$55.99

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Player props for the Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET. Player field from the confirmed starting lineups (SportsDataIO).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Player Props
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 10, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Player props for the Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET. Player field from the confirmed starting lineups (SportsDataIO).

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Afonso Bastardo records more than 1.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Afonso Bastardo: 2+ assists
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Afonso Bastardo: 3+ assists
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Afonso Bastardo: 2+ goals + assists
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Afonso Bastardo: 3+ goals + assists
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Eric Martel: 4+ shots
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Phillip Tietz: 4+ shots
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Phillip Tietz: 5+ shots
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Philipp Mwene: 2+ shots
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Philipp Mwene: 3+ shots
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Philipp Mwene: 4+ shots
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Afonso Bastardo: 1+ shots
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Afonso Bastardo: 2+ shots
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Afonso Bastardo: 3+ shots
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Afonso Bastardo: 4+ shots
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Afonso Bastardo: 5+ shots
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Anthony Caci: 2+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Anthony Caci: 3+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Kacper Potulski: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Kaishu Sano: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Fabio Gruber: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Eric Martel: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Stefan Posch: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Phillip Tietz: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Phillip Tietz: 2+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Nadiem Amiri: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Sheraldo Becker: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Philipp Mwene: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Afonso Bastardo: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Afonso Bastardo: 2+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Afonso Bastardo: 3+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Afonso Bastardo: 4+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Ibrahim Maza: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Jarrell Quansah: 2+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Jarrell Quansah: 3+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Robert Andrich: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 36. Robert Andrich: 2+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Aleix García: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 38. Moussa Diaby: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Moussa Diaby: 2+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Patrik Schick: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. Patrik Schick: 2+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 42. Edmond Tapsoba: 2+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Facundo Medina: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 44. Miguel Gutiérrez: 1+ shots on target
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 45. Mark Flekken: 1+ saves
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 46. Mark Flekken: 2+ saves
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 10, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Player Props

Player props for the Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET. Player field from the confirmed starting lineups (SportsDataIO).

Volume$55.99

Markets46

46 of 46

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ assists

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ assists

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Afonso Bastardo records more than 1.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve t

POLYMARKET

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ assists

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ assists

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Afonso Bastardo records more than 2.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve t

POLYMARKET

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ goals + assists

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ goals + assists

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Afonso Bastardo records more than 1.5 goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will r

POLYMARKET

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ goals + assists

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ goals + assists

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Afonso Bastardo records more than 2.5 goals + assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will r

POLYMARKET

Eric Martel: 4+ shots

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Eric Martel: 4+ shots

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Martel records more than 3.5 shots within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No"

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/gOghAI" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Player Props"></iframe>

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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Player Props

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Player Props

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Afonso Bastardo: 2+ assists

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Events (1)

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Player Props

Markets (46)

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ assists

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ assists

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ assists

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ assists

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ goals + assists

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ goals + assists

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ goals + assists

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ goals + assists

Eric Martel: 4+ shots

Eric Martel: 4+ shots

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Afonso Bastardo: 2+ assists

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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Player Props

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ assists

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ assists

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ assists

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ assists

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ goals + assists

Afonso Bastardo: 2+ goals + assists

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ goals + assists

Afonso Bastardo: 3+ goals + assists

Eric Martel: 4+ shots

Eric Martel: 4+ shots

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