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Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31? | PredictPedia

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Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?

Name: Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.37K

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Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?

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Polymarket

markets · $1.37K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.37K

100%

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1 market tracked

Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?	Poly	1%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, April 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jessica Tisch ceases to be the New York City Police Commissioner for any period of time between December 2, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Tisch's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. An announcement from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani that he will remove 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jessica Tisch ceases to be the New York City Police Commissioner for any period of time between December 2, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Tisch's resignation/removal before this market's end"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $717
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.91)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Average Yes Price

1¢

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Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?

Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?

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Mamdani removes Jessica Tisch as NYC Police Commissioner by March 31?

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