Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?

Name: #2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?
End: 2026-10-13T16:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$17.47K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?

Vol

$17.47K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $17.47K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $17.47K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	94%
Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	4%
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	1%
Will Anthropic have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	1%
Will Qwen have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	1%
Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	1%
Will Tencent have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	0%
Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	0%
Will MiniMax have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	0%
Will Meta have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	0%
Will xAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	0%
Will Xiaomi have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$17.47K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** #2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 13, 2026 (2 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026.

A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.

This market will resolve according to the figures displayed 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026.

A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026. The "st"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $4.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 3.82)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $810
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.2% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Tencent have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $479
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $6.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Xiaomi have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $564
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $483
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $4.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Anthropic have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $549
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will MiniMax have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $425
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Meta have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $418
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Qwen have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $442
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will xAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 13, 2026): Vol $427
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech