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Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI

Top Coding AI this week

Top Coding AI this week
Vol

K 16 contracts

|
Events

1

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Markets

9

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Claude at 90%.

Kalshi

  1. Claude90%
  2. ChatGPT8%
  3. Qwen2.5%
  4. Gemini2.5%
  5. MiniMax2%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 16 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

9

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 26, 2026 If X is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 26, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/, the number of candidates tied, rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiTech
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

PM $303.8K · K 63.9K contracts

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 59.9%Rules differK Yes 84%

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Related contracts

PM Yes 22%Rules differK Yes 64%

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Top Chinese AI company on October 31, 2026? (Xiaomi)

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 59.9%Rules differK Yes 64%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

28 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top Text to Speech AI this week

Top Text to Speech AI this week

K 2 contracts
Top Text to Speech AI this week? (ElevenLabs)Yes 85%
Top Text to Speech AI this week? (Google)Yes 3.5%
Top Text to Speech AI this week? (Cartesia)Yes 3.5%
+14 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top Open Source AI this week

Top Open Source AI this week

K 200 contracts
Top Open Source AI this week? (GLM)Yes 47.5%
Top Open Source AI this week? (Xiaomi)Yes 47.5%
Top Open Source AI this week? (MiniMax)Yes 9.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top Text to Image AI this week

Top Text to Image AI this week

K 25 contracts
Top Text to Image AI this week? (OpenAI)Yes 93.5%
Top Text to Image AI this week? (Google)Yes 3.5%
Top Text to Image AI this week? (SpaceXAI)Yes 3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Top Text to Video AI this week

Top Text to Video AI this week

K 9.62 contracts
Top Text to Video AI this week? (Alibaba)Yes 86.5%
Top Text to Video AI this week? (ByteDance)Yes 4%
Top Text to Video AI this week? (Vidu)Yes 2.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
KalshiCompanies
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th

K 886.37 contracts
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th? (Xiaomi)Yes 64.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th? (Alibaba)Yes 12.5%
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 26th? (Z.ai)Yes 5.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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