GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

Name: Ohio Senate Election: Turnout
End: 2026-11-03T12:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$7.71K

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Trade on Polymarket

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

Vol

$7.71K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $7.71K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.71K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?	Poly	40%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,200,000 and 4,350,000?	Poly	24%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 3,900,000 and 4,050,000?	Poly	13%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?	Poly	13%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,950,000 and 5,100,000?	Poly	8%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,800,000 and 4,950,000?	Poly	5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?	Poly	5%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?	Poly	4%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?	Poly	3%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

40%

Top Probability

$7.71K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Ohio Senate Election: Turnout
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (59 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not defin"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $85.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.09)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 3,900,000 and 4,050,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,200,000 and 4,350,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $286
  DATA: [Yes: 24.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.6% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $172
  DATA: [Yes: 4.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $157
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,800,000 and 4,950,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $72
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,950,000 and 5,100,000?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $182
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $603
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics