About This Event

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Sherrod Brown in the 2026 U.S. Senate special election in Ohio is within X to Y then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Sherrod Brown minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Sherrod Brown if Sherrod Brown wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Sherrod Brown loses. If Sherrod Brown wins, the margin will be positive; if Sherrod Brown loses, the margin will be negative; if Sherrod Brown ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Sherrod Brown runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed. This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published.